@0x103d…751a

13

0x103d7ad8d11fd106fd5663008ab2c892b9aa751a

~30d· 29 markets · 90 trades2026-08-04 23:47:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (11/23)8.9/20
0.17x (win $2 / loss $14)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -11.0390/15
Sortino -9.7190/10
$-0.0057 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2226 (23 markets)1.4/10
8/19 profitable days (42%)3/10
Max DD 2856% of peak ($12 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-12
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,987
Total Redeem
$2
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
52B / 38S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
11W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-12
Win Rate
48%
11W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.17x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2 (0.13123993558776167% of PnL)

Top Winners

ETH/BTC Up or Down on May 24?$1
Will Sergio Perez leave Red Bull?$1
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?$0
Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?$0
US tariff revenue up in Q4 2025?$0
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?$0
Category 5 hurricane hits US before election?$0
Will FIFA ban or suspend Israel in 2025?$0
Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?$0
Greg Goes All In profitable in October?$0

Top Losers

SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before April?$-3
Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?$-3
Will the All India N.R. Congress (AINRC) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?$-2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?$-2
Will JD Vance say "Trump" or "President" 20+ times during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?$-1
Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$-1
Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?$-1
Will the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?$-1
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-0
US inauguration on January 20?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.562
Sortino
-0.634
HHI
1228
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.9%
Top-5 markets
72.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
8s
between trades
Avg Gap
24s
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
30
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
62% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 1.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.74
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.8%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)94.2%

Sessions

#12
4/18/2026, 6:40:26 AM8 trades$4731 min
12/3/2024, 8:35:20 AM2 trades$4411 min
12/4/2024, 10:33:38 AM2 trades$4363 min
4/20/2026, 4:54:30 AM4 trades$3320 min
7/21/2026, 6:27:18 AM6 trades$2590 min
3/5/2026, 12:04:35 PM4 trades$2411 min
4/3/2026, 12:19:57 PM2 trades$2000 min
4/6/2026, 10:14:37 AM2 trades$2000 min
7/9/2026, 7:08:02 AM10 trades$1762 min
3/8/2026, 5:53:19 AM2 trades$1210 min
7/12/2026, 11:23:34 AM7 trades$1161 min
8/9/2024, 4:09:49 PM2 trades$972 min
7/29/2024, 10:20:41 AM1 trades$960 min
7/26/2026, 11:32:52 AM2 trades$870 min
10/21/2024, 5:29:49 AM5 trades$302 min
11/7/2024, 5:01:45 AM3 trades$140 min
9/13/2024, 8:58:52 AM3 trades$60 min
1/21/2025, 1:56:09 AM3 trades$50 min
2/3/2025, 7:51:24 AM1 trades$30 min
5/28/2025, 9:39:19 AM3 trades$30 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-09
12-04
05-23
08-12
11-04
12-25
04-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 503 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.74/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.8 / M0 / H94.2