@AxelZwach

#2,481,12932

0x11218ca8ff4a143878386931999abdb8277d8a0d

~25d· 35 markets · 111 tradesVol: $3,7232026-08-05 03:27:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

32
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (20/35)13.6/20
0.69x (win $760 / loss $1,102)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.4710/15
Sortino -3.6520/10
$-0.1959 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 741 (35 markets)8.8/10
15/20 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 1289% of peak ($498 / $39)0/10

Badges

2
Consistent
15/20 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

4
⚽ SPORTS#1,692,605$-113Vol: $3,395
🏛️ POLITICS#112,190$31Vol: $311
🎭 CULTURE#176,772$1Vol: $12
🌤️ WEATHER#47,245$2Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-79
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,723
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
35
total markets
Trades
53B / 58S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-79
Vol: $3,723

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
20W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-79
Win Rate
57%
20W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-92

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $349 (4.392191435768262% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$135
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$107
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$107
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$100
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$73
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$65
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$43
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?$40
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?$34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$21

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-360
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-160
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-120
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$-87
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$-80
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$-80
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$-60
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-50
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-50
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?$-36

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.177
Sortino
-0.178
HHI
1064
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.144
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.5%
Top-5 markets
55.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.1h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
45
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 6519s — normal for humanCV 0.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.09
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.7%
Mid (20-55c)26.4%
High (>55c)67.9%

Sessions

#12
5/31/2026, 10:03:05 PM7 trades$6651 min
7/2/2026, 3:23:55 AM5 trades$2824 min
6/12/2026, 3:56:28 AM2 trades$1650 min
6/10/2026, 3:24:15 AM4 trades$1551 min
6/15/2026, 5:57:45 PM2 trades$1530 min
6/11/2026, 9:27:27 PM2 trades$1430 min
6/13/2026, 5:47:00 AM2 trades$1280 min
6/12/2026, 8:58:21 PM2 trades$1200 min
7/1/2026, 2:41:22 AM5 trades$1120 min
6/15/2026, 9:17:24 PM2 trades$1080 min
6/14/2026, 3:50:55 AM2 trades$1010 min
6/15/2026, 1:04:40 AM2 trades$1000 min
6/24/2026, 11:26:11 PM2 trades$960 min
6/25/2026, 2:22:37 AM2 trades$960 min
5/8/2026, 3:42:13 PM2 trades$880 min
6/13/2026, 9:03:25 PM4 trades$832 min
6/17/2026, 3:18:26 PM2 trades$800 min
6/30/2026, 7:16:05 AM2 trades$790 min
6/15/2026, 5:49:00 PM2 trades$770 min
6/14/2026, 11:05:31 PM2 trades$750 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-21
05-08
06-11
06-14
06-21
06-24
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 36 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2.9% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.09/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.7 / M26.4 / H67.9