@0x115649…6750

#269,04968

0x1156491e8f97d7dc0e22db232cbf625d02cc5eb4

~36d· 47 markets · 194 tradesVol: $55,3532026-08-04 19:05:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

72% (29/40)20/20
1.14x (win $4,286 / loss $3,758)4.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.73713.8/15
Sortino 1.05810/10
$+0.0209 per $1 invested1/10
HHI 536 (40 markets)9.8/10
19/28 profitable days (68%)9.5/10
Max DD 505% of peak ($2,666 / $528)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 72%
Profitable
PnL $+77
Consistent
19/28 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,546,250$-147Vol: $51,307
🎭 CULTURE#12,989$224Vol: $4,046

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$77
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$55,353
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
59B / 135S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

Periods

#2
Today
$21
Vol: $0
Week
$6
Vol: $0
Month
$-30
Vol: $0
All Time
$77
Vol: $55,353

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
73%
29W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$77
Win Rate
73%
29W / 11L
Profit Factor
1.14x
Avg Win
$148
Avg Loss
$-376

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,264 (29.555555555555554% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$1,542
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$364
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$357
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?$284
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?$269
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$237
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$176
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$159
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$144
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?$108

Top Losers

Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?$-1,894
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$-924
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?$-446
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-232
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-142
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?$-90
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$-27
Will Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5?$-2
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?$-0
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.038
Sortino
0.035
HHI
302
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
31.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 250s — normal for humanCV 1.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.33
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)16.9%
High (>55c)83.1%

Sessions

#12
11/25/2025, 6:58:45 PM2 trades$3,7874 min
7/1/2026, 12:49:31 PM6 trades$3,6121 min
10/16/2025, 4:13:39 PM2 trades$3,0082 min
7/3/2026, 11:23:53 AM21 trades$2,9321 min
6/18/2026, 5:56:17 PM19 trades$2,6930 min
4/18/2026, 6:32:08 PM4 trades$2,3371 min
9/14/2025, 7:42:16 AM2 trades$2,2652 min
6/18/2026, 6:10:32 PM18 trades$2,2255 min
7/3/2026, 8:34:26 PM17 trades$2,1190 min
12/22/2025, 7:28:37 PM4 trades$1,8482 min
11/2/2025, 7:31:47 PM1 trades$1,6090 min
10/1/2025, 12:53:21 PM1 trades$1,4030 min
9/8/2025, 6:37:44 PM1 trades$1,1110 min
11/28/2025, 6:58:25 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/2/2026, 9:35:40 PM15 trades$9612 min
3/9/2026, 12:31:27 AM2 trades$7521 min
7/3/2026, 8:05:19 PM6 trades$6680 min
12/3/2025, 5:23:21 PM2 trades$6271 min
7/2/2026, 9:28:55 PM17 trades$6130 min
2/1/2026, 10:03:52 AM3 trades$6002 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-05
11-28
01-12
02-06
02-24
03-09
06-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 138 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
69.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M16.9 / H83.1