@0x11963e…4069

#214,1324

0x11963e27e9578907f62c6a571748c7102d312592

~24d· 21 markets · 257 tradesVol: $32,0352026-08-05 16:40:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (5/15)1.7/20
0.56x (win $1,939 / loss $3,476)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.9880/15
Sortino -5.7860/10
$-0.3335 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2373 (15 markets)0.6/10
4/11 profitable days (36%)1.6/10
Max DD 5239% of peak ($1,580 / $30)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+130
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
SPORTS#66,295$357Vol: $25,538
🏛️ POLITICS#1,573,426$-244Vol: $5,720
📈 ECONOMICS#67,823$4Vol: $505
CRYPTO#261,229$7Vol: $272

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$125
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$32,035
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
109B / 148S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-12
Vol: $0
Month
$-18
Vol: $0
All Time
$125
Vol: $32,035

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
5W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$130
Win Rate
33%
5W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.56x
Avg Win
$388
Avg Loss
$-386

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,927 (14.830831986454244% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,843
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$70
La Velada del Año 6 Edu Aguirre vs Gastón Edul$13
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$10
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 2.5$3

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,515
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,418
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-200
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-194
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-55
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-40
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-29
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$-26
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.299
Sortino
-0.252
HHI
7259
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.201
Kelly %
4.0%
Half-Kelly
2.0%
Top-1 market
68.2%
Top-5 markets
150.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 84s — normal for humanCV 0.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours14/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
24.93
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40.4%
Mid (20-55c)11.9%
High (>55c)47.7%

Sessions

#12
7/12/2026, 9:31:55 AM35 trades$1,2861 min
7/12/2026, 9:09:02 AM14 trades$8787 min
6/1/2026, 5:04:43 PM10 trades$8516 min
6/30/2026, 3:35:22 AM23 trades$8091 min
7/12/2026, 3:03:46 AM2 trades$5450 min
7/4/2026, 12:06:41 AM3 trades$4422 min
7/26/2026, 12:42:18 PM6 trades$3474 min
7/14/2026, 8:05:22 PM6 trades$3322 min
5/2/2026, 9:32:08 AM14 trades$3132 min
4/25/2026, 1:53:06 PM8 trades$3061 min
7/4/2026, 7:31:28 PM8 trades$2971 min
7/11/2026, 5:47:08 PM6 trades$2921 min
7/11/2026, 7:31:53 PM2 trades$2440 min
7/14/2026, 7:54:58 PM5 trades$2180 min
7/11/2026, 11:05:47 PM5 trades$2131 min
6/21/2026, 3:25:31 PM10 trades$2102 min
7/12/2026, 9:38:41 AM2 trades$1960 min
7/11/2026, 2:50:17 PM2 trades$1880 min
7/1/2026, 4:05:53 AM7 trades$1663 min
3/31/2026, 4:26:25 AM4 trades$1604 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-31
06-01
06-19
06-21
07-04
07-11
07-12
07-14
07-19
07-24
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 53 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 24.93/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L40.4 / M11.9 / H47.7