@0x11C5d9…7539

#434,82116

0x11c5d92ef489435a0a3f2c8deba647a57a0179d8

~40d· 193 markets · 1479 tradesVol: $94,8942026-08-04 18:59:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (67/193)2.4/20
0.96x (win $3,045 / loss $3,171)2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3990/15
Sortino -0.5560/10
$-0.0120 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 236 (193 markets)10/10
13/36 profitable days (36%)1.5/10
Max DD 126% of peak ($738 / $584)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+17
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

7
🎭 CULTURE#796,554$-223Vol: $86,100
CRYPTO#1,428,320$-69Vol: $4,424
SPORTS#103,140$141Vol: $2,395
🏛️ POLITICS#62,766$104Vol: $1,181
🌤️ WEATHER#11,552$40Vol: $531
📢 MENTIONS#12,105$29Vol: $244
💰 FINANCE#522,648$-3Vol: $13

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$17
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$94,894
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
193
total markets
Trades
410B / 1069S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
67W / 126L events
Realized PnL
$17
Win Rate
35%
67W / 126L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$45
Avg Loss
$-45

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,169 (68.73544973544973% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$431
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$426
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$313
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$279
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$185
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$148
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$146
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$136
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?$116
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$95

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$-464
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-401
Spurs vs. Knicks$-290
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?$-167
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-137
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?$-114
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$-110
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$-106
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$-103
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-91

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.021
Sortino
-0.026
HHI
378
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.2%
Top-5 markets
31%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
30.8
Active
Markets / Day
4.0
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 135s — normal for humanCV 1.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock31 trades/day — high frequency4.0 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.82
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.1%
Mid (20-55c)16.3%
High (>55c)67.6%

Sessions

#12
5/26/2026, 10:13:48 PM30 trades$1,7333 min
5/11/2026, 10:14:52 AM94 trades$1,2639 min
5/15/2026, 10:22:57 AM48 trades$1,0721 min
6/8/2026, 2:28:01 PM4 trades$8451 min
6/14/2026, 2:52:04 AM26 trades$8276 min
6/9/2026, 1:03:46 AM16 trades$6545 min
5/11/2026, 10:32:48 AM19 trades$6121 min
6/6/2026, 9:44:57 AM2 trades$6000 min
5/13/2026, 8:53:47 PM26 trades$5964 min
6/6/2026, 1:27:42 PM2 trades$5870 min
5/14/2026, 2:17:07 PM40 trades$5513 min
5/11/2026, 10:44:54 AM13 trades$4940 min
5/14/2026, 11:42:15 PM12 trades$4617 min
5/14/2026, 2:02:02 PM35 trades$4508 min
5/13/2026, 9:05:47 PM16 trades$4253 min
6/11/2026, 6:24:01 AM16 trades$3930 min
6/10/2026, 2:06:46 PM17 trades$3493 min
5/14/2026, 8:02:04 PM22 trades$3484 min
5/11/2026, 12:05:29 PM56 trades$33523 min
6/9/2026, 10:26:48 PM2 trades$3280 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-11
05-21
05-31
06-09
06-16
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 9 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
72.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.1 / M16.3 / H67.6