Fegoro

@Fegoro

#253,84579

0x11b6f68bbdee18d1b9f6932cf0d205ce5e470cf3

~81d· 103 markets · 127 tradesVol: $39,115 @7oasfdvhbx2026-08-04 22:10:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

73% (72/98)20/20
2.50x (win $201 / loss $80)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.10515/15
Sortino 5.61210/10
$+0.0125 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 3722 (98 markets)0/10
59/78 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 28% of peak ($46 / $166)8.4/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 73%
Profitable
PnL $+89
Consistent
59/78 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 28%
Win Streak
18 wins in a row

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,499,255$-76Vol: $23,005
SPORTS#95,116$168Vol: $6,466
💰 FINANCE#554,572$-6Vol: $5,794
🎭 CULTURE#620,504$-4Vol: $3,802
CRYPTO#319,778$4Vol: $22
📈 ECONOMICS#90,532$2Vol: $9
🌤️ WEATHER#52,181$1Vol: $6
💻 TECH#73,548$0Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$89
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$39,115
Total Redeem
$7
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
103
total markets
Trades
107B / 20S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~81d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$89
Vol: $39,115

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
73%
72W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$89
Win Rate
73%
72W / 26L
Profit Factor
2.5x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $163 (1.8203981212256763% of PnL)

Top Winners

Kentucky vs. Louisville$97
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-08?$62
Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?$4
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-14?$3
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$1
76ers vs. Hornets$1
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$1
Red Wings vs. Capitals$1
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10 AM ET$1
Dogecoin above $0.17 on March 28?$1

Top Losers

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$-45
Will there be less than 130,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$-4
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Nov 22-29?$-4
Will there be 165,000,000-170,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$-4
Colts vs. Chiefs$-3
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Back to Back (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stage$-2
Will Fulham win on 2024-12-14?$-2
Rays vs. Royals$-2
Thunder vs. Nuggets$-2
Suns vs. Hawks$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.110
Sortino
0.138
HHI
2745
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.014
Kelly %
47.2%
Half-Kelly
23.6%
Top-1 market
32.8%
Top-5 markets
90.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
53.4m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — normal for humanCV 5.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.24
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.7%
Mid (20-55c)9.3%
High (>55c)86.9%

Sessions

#12
4/16/2026, 8:17:02 PM3 trades$3,2783 min
11/29/2025, 6:19:01 PM1 trades$3,1460 min
4/8/2025, 8:33:19 PM1 trades$3,0240 min
4/16/2026, 10:25:38 PM2 trades$2,9880 min
4/16/2026, 8:28:52 PM3 trades$2,3401 min
4/16/2026, 9:27:46 PM2 trades$643 min
4/16/2026, 9:50:08 PM2 trades$640 min
4/16/2026, 9:55:54 PM1 trades$500 min
4/16/2026, 9:36:22 PM1 trades$430 min
11/26/2024, 2:50:55 PM8 trades$1412 min
11/30/2024, 10:22:08 AM11 trades$104 min
12/14/2024, 3:32:30 PM3 trades$51 min
12/16/2024, 9:30:29 PM2 trades$50 min
4/28/2026, 9:23:56 PM2 trades$40 min
2/18/2026, 3:54:10 PM2 trades$40 min
7/21/2026, 10:40:27 AM4 trades$41 min
6/11/2026, 5:17:43 PM2 trades$40 min
11/23/2025, 8:51:15 PM1 trades$30 min
1/7/2026, 12:34:41 AM1 trades$30 min
4/3/2026, 7:49:13 PM2 trades$30 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-26
01-28
04-08
06-16
09-30
02-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 35 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
15.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.24/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.7 / M9.3 / H86.9