@quantsteven

#484,44114

0x11d0e138fbb9e1a4decb8b8a16fa81b6f96c69c9

~97d· 1711 markets · 3959 tradesVol: $128,2732026-08-04 22:22:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (475/1711)0/20
0.87x (win $3,776 / loss $4,358)0.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0600/15
Sortino -1.5300/10
$-0.0289 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 186 (1711 markets)10/10
36/86 profitable days (42%)3/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,563 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+11
Lottery Player
44% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#5,751$147Vol: $92,856
SPORTS#1,298,070$-8Vol: $20,908
CRYPTO#1,484,502$-111Vol: $7,768
🏛️ POLITICS#1,352,839$-17Vol: $6,740

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$11
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$128,273
Total Redeem
$188
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1711
total markets
Trades
3294B / 665S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~97d

Periods

#2
Today
$-17
Vol: $1,115
Week
$-25
Vol: $1,365
Month
$-148
Vol: $2,028
All Time
$11
Vol: $128,273

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
475W / 1236L events
Realized PnL
$11
Win Rate
28%
475W / 1236L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,347 (123.013698630137% of PnL)

Top Winners

Solana Up or Down - March 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$588
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 18?$501
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$258
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 23?$188
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 14?$98
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 31?$91
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 23?$79
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 28?$71
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 7?$68
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?$66

Top Losers

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-296
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 6?$-197
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-98
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 5?$-91
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 18?$-78
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 8?$-74
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-63
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12?$-42
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 5?$-32
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on April 30?$-30

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.055
Sortino
-0.067
HHI
177
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
20%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.1
Active
Markets / Day
8.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
34.6m
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 300s — normal for humanCV 3.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — high frequency8.7 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.36
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)44.2%
Mid (20-55c)20.5%
High (>55c)35.3%

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 7:58:22 AM9 trades$1,2038 min
6/28/2026, 7:01:01 AM5 trades$8770 min
6/21/2026, 7:30:28 AM25 trades$72214 min
6/8/2026, 6:57:18 AM17 trades$59211 min
6/28/2026, 3:24:44 AM7 trades$5671 min
6/17/2026, 5:52:29 AM4 trades$5491 min
6/14/2026, 6:28:19 AM19 trades$5461 min
7/11/2026, 2:39:58 AM10 trades$5214 min
6/11/2026, 7:08:33 AM5 trades$4714 min
7/2/2026, 1:08:25 AM2 trades$4620 min
6/9/2026, 5:46:49 AM20 trades$4393 min
6/16/2026, 6:31:30 AM20 trades$3605 min
6/6/2026, 7:42:43 AM15 trades$3461 min
6/5/2026, 6:51:36 AM16 trades$3162 min
6/26/2026, 11:47:32 AM3 trades$3040 min
7/7/2026, 5:24:01 PM10 trades$3011 min
7/23/2026, 7:06:55 AM2 trades$3000 min
6/18/2026, 9:54:43 AM2 trades$2921 min
6/11/2026, 6:25:31 AM8 trades$2895 min
5/6/2026, 3:38:04 AM17 trades$22011 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-16
03-02
04-01
05-06
06-04
06-21
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
82% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.36/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44.2 / M20.5 / H35.3