SmakAfriki

@SmakAfriki

#15,03370

0x11de4cc0fe3abf6d803c139324034170c6c321d7

~177d· 187 markets · 1442 tradesVol: $546,3742026-08-04 20:21:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (103/172)14.9/20
1.49x (win $27,454 / loss $18,470)8.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.66915/15
Sortino 2.29310/10
$+0.0376 per $1 invested1.9/10
HHI 228 (172 markets)10/10
71/103 profitable days (69%)9.7/10
Max DD 96% of peak ($9,363 / $9,764)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+9,811
DCA Master
Avg 9.9 entries/market
Whale
$238,722 invested
Consistent
71/103 profitable days
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#4,045$9,229Vol: $457,503
🎭 CULTURE#775,547$-83Vol: $37,812
📈 ECONOMICS#670,913$-250Vol: $21,798
📢 MENTIONS#2,666$381Vol: $10,931
💰 FINANCE#16,329$122Vol: $7,205
CRYPTO#53,267$309Vol: $7,179
💻 TECH#19,982$8Vol: $1,599

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$9,811
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$546,374
Total Redeem
$644
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
187
total markets
Trades
848B / 594S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~177d

Periods

#2
Today
$151
Vol: $0
Week
$123
Vol: $150
Month
$355
Vol: $150
All Time
$9,811
Vol: $546,374

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
103W / 68L events
Realized PnL
$9,811
Win Rate
60%
103W / 68L
Profit Factor
1.49x
Avg Win
$267
Avg Loss
$-303

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,612 (1.0815973744024625% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the government shutdown end November 12?$4,141
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3,739
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$2,732
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$1,204
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$1,048
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$1,015
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$933
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$825
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?$753
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$647

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-5,667
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-2,970
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?$-1,707
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-1,546
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$-975
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?$-869
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?$-699
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-679
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-460
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?$-422

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.087
Sortino
0.068
HHI
215
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.038
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.6%
Top-5 markets
21.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 552s — normal for humanCV 2.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal70% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.87
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.5%
Mid (20-55c)26.1%
High (>55c)57.4%

Sessions

#12
3/1/2026, 12:56:01 AM2 trades$9,5721 min
2/28/2026, 2:51:41 PM9 trades$9,2784 min
3/1/2026, 1:07:07 AM2 trades$7,7870 min
3/1/2026, 1:24:43 AM2 trades$7,5742 min
1/3/2026, 11:36:03 PM2 trades$5,9390 min
12/31/2025, 2:48:43 AM2 trades$5,6052 min
1/15/2026, 2:20:10 AM1 trades$5,5250 min
2/3/2026, 5:32:18 PM2 trades$5,2811 min
2/27/2026, 4:54:02 AM2 trades$4,9981 min
3/1/2026, 1:19:11 PM1 trades$4,9720 min
2/10/2026, 4:55:43 PM2 trades$4,9112 min
2/1/2026, 5:45:58 PM1 trades$4,7900 min
12/28/2025, 6:12:57 PM1 trades$4,6010 min
12/24/2025, 5:34:51 AM1 trades$4,6000 min
1/15/2026, 4:17:36 PM1 trades$4,5000 min
2/26/2026, 12:49:42 PM16 trades$4,46221 min
2/25/2026, 3:19:44 AM5 trades$4,4336 min
6/15/2026, 5:07:37 PM2 trades$4,1840 min
11/16/2025, 10:39:21 PM2 trades$4,0240 min
12/5/2025, 9:12:17 PM1 trades$3,9960 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-09
12-03
01-12
02-14
03-12
04-22
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 91 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.87/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.5 / M26.1 / H57.4