@Motosha
#3,051,793210x124f1f38b694344eeefcc1e4a36fe87601510dea
~147d· 248 markets · 11803 tradesVol: $301,2342026-08-04 19:48:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
45% (91/201)7.6/20
0.40x (win $14,531 / loss $36,289)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.7160/15
Sortino -4.7600/10
$-0.2072 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 187 (201 markets)10/10
41/96 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 11079555% of peak ($22,159 / $0)0/10
Badges
4DCA Master
Avg 74.3 entries/market
Whale
$104,992 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#1,635,449$-6,070Vol: $277,397
📈 ECONOMICS#678,214$-837Vol: $17,081
₿ CRYPTO#1,412,108$-60Vol: $5,639
💰 FINANCE#631,542$-97Vol: $672
⚽ SPORTS#420,767$1Vol: $400
🎭 CULTURE#155,586$1Vol: $45
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-7,062
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$301,234
Total Redeem
$5,506
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
248
total markets
Trades
5082B / 6721S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~147d
Periods
#2Today
$42
Vol: $419
Week
$26
Vol: $876
Month
$178
Vol: $897
All Time
$-7,062
Vol: $301,234
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
46%
91W / 109L events
Realized PnL
$-7,062
Win Rate
46%
91W / 109L
Profit Factor
0.4x
Avg Win
$160
Avg Loss
$-356
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,041 (0.5723006815648946% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1,621
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$1,235
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1,186
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$963
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$676
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$638
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$617
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$588
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$402
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$351
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-4,928
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-2,911
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-2,684
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$-2,266
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-1,535
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-1,442
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-1,270
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-1,232
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-1,177
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-1,056
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.246
Sortino
-0.211
HHI
307
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.158
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.5%
Top-5 markets
24.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
74.2
Very active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.2m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.5
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 242s — normal for humanCV 2.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock74 trades/day — mass trading1.6 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
74.27
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)9.3%
Mid (20-55c)19.1%
High (>55c)71.6%
Sessions
#124/17/2026, 1:54:48 PM83 trades$3,50126 min
4/17/2026, 1:06:08 PM23 trades$2,5988 min
6/12/2026, 6:59:25 AM15 trades$2,1090 min
6/24/2026, 8:18:50 PM4 trades$2,1020 min
4/13/2026, 8:30:01 AM11 trades$1,6975 min
4/6/2026, 5:54:53 PM8 trades$1,5713 min
5/23/2026, 8:59:47 AM79 trades$1,53617 min
5/28/2026, 9:13:28 AM2 trades$1,5000 min
4/24/2026, 8:26:30 AM8 trades$1,4795 min
2/28/2026, 6:13:17 AM18 trades$1,43412 min
5/22/2026, 11:38:16 PM7 trades$1,2500 min
2/27/2026, 10:25:49 PM11 trades$1,2398 min
6/13/2026, 4:46:43 PM31 trades$1,2155 min
6/4/2026, 9:52:04 PM9 trades$1,1460 min
4/3/2026, 12:29:31 PM13 trades$1,1052 min
4/7/2026, 7:31:51 PM16 trades$1,0737 min
4/12/2026, 5:50:27 PM3 trades$1,0720 min
5/5/2026, 10:31:50 PM47 trades$1,05632 min
4/28/2026, 10:54:48 AM9 trades$1,0230 min
5/22/2026, 9:24:53 PM84 trades$9706 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-27
03-26
04-23
05-19
06-06
06-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 136 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 74.27/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.3 / M19.1 / H71.6