@kcyan

#2,922,56359

0x12508d9367ef57453426f533c1b0affcc2ff4444

~28d· 114 markets · 1687 tradesVol: $45,4202026-08-04 20:08:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (27/114)0/20
1.28x (win $3,142 / loss $2,452)6/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.90915/15
Sortino 7.29710/10
$+0.0775 per $1 invested3.9/10
HHI 330 (114 markets)10/10
14/24 profitable days (58%)7.1/10
Max DD 33% of peak ($244 / $731)7.3/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
71% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#297,462$-965Vol: $45,291
CRYPTO#1,192,749$-13Vol: $129

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-978
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$45,420
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
114
total markets
Trades
1121B / 566S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-978
Vol: $45,420

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
27W / 87L events
Realized PnL
$-978
Win Rate
24%
27W / 87L
Profit Factor
1.28x
Avg Win
$116
Avg Loss
$-30

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,017 (1.039137723081955% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 4?$438
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?$295
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?$284
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 24?$280
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or higher on May 9?$193
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 8?$170
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?$163
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?$158
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?$137
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?$129

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 25?$-156
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 24?$-118
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 6?$-110
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 8?$-108
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 1?$-99
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 9?$-99
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 3?$-97
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 24?$-81
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 25?$-76
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?$-71

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.200
Sortino
0.399
HHI
354
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.077
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.1%
Top-5 markets
32.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
36.7m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.5

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 332s — normal for humanCV 2.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active1.2 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.8
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.9%
Mid (20-55c)44.1%
High (>55c)29.1%

Sessions

#12
5/8/2026, 4:11:05 PM2 trades$5680 min
4/25/2026, 4:34:22 AM34 trades$4581 min
5/3/2026, 11:32:24 PM33 trades$4470 min
4/25/2026, 5:20:58 AM32 trades$4271 min
5/2/2026, 8:18:14 AM8 trades$4102 min
4/24/2026, 6:58:24 AM1 trades$4010 min
4/30/2026, 2:39:50 AM3 trades$3322 min
4/23/2026, 4:31:34 PM21 trades$3166 min
4/25/2026, 5:08:24 AM12 trades$3061 min
7/17/2026, 4:06:52 PM14 trades$2922 min
5/3/2026, 8:26:10 AM16 trades$2780 min
4/25/2026, 9:27:38 AM1 trades$2760 min
5/8/2026, 3:18:49 PM12 trades$2735 min
5/2/2026, 8:25:24 AM18 trades$25217 min
5/2/2026, 8:09:26 AM62 trades$2263 min
7/25/2026, 9:56:01 AM21 trades$2251 min
4/30/2026, 7:24:10 AM4 trades$2007 min
5/7/2026, 8:19:36 AM1 trades$2000 min
4/23/2026, 3:55:56 PM3 trades$1960 min
5/8/2026, 7:37:54 AM1 trades$1800 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-23
04-27
05-01
05-05
05-09
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
92% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.8/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L26.9 / M44.1 / H29.1