@0x1263Ae…2807

#7,18281

0x1263ae23dbfcba7dcdb8fcf4fb70da931c22fddc

~34d· 130 markets · 537 tradesVol: $215,2912026-08-04 19:44:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

81
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (59/127)8.2/20
1.92x (win $53,970 / loss $28,183)13.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.82115/15
Sortino 15.34510/10
$+0.4175 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 400 (127 markets)10/10
15/29 profitable days (52%)5.4/10
Max DD 26% of peak ($8,870 / $34,658)8.9/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+22,080
Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55
Whale
$61,774 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 26%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

3
SPORTS#5,929$8,927Vol: $127,156
🏛️ POLITICS#2,976$13,529Vol: $78,168
CRYPTO#1,576,557$-377Vol: $9,966

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$22,080
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$215,291
Total Redeem
$966
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
130
total markets
Trades
425B / 112S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

Periods

#2
Today
$57
Vol: $0
Week
$78
Vol: $0
Month
$7
Vol: $0
All Time
$22,080
Vol: $215,291

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
59W / 68L events
Realized PnL
$22,080
Win Rate
46%
59W / 68L
Profit Factor
1.92x
Avg Win
$915
Avg Loss
$-414

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $24,211 (1.096525168220663% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$16,304
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$5,882
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)$2,026
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?$1,885
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1,790
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)$1,720
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5$1,386
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?$1,351
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)$1,197
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5$1,185

Top Losers

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-4,236
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$-2,000
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-2,000
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score$-1,200
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers$-1,100
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$-1,000
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?$-850
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)$-752
Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer$-650
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$-551

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.248
Sortino
0.711
HHI
260
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.383
Kelly %
17.8%
Half-Kelly
8.9%
Top-1 market
8.6%
Top-5 markets
25.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 116s — normal for humanCV 1.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.31
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.1%
Mid (20-55c)33.9%
High (>55c)47.1%

Sessions

#12
6/10/2026, 11:28:58 AM68 trades$4,5260 min
3/15/2026, 3:07:21 PM7 trades$4,1747 min
4/24/2026, 8:46:04 AM22 trades$3,7962 min
3/21/2026, 3:10:09 AM6 trades$3,3508 min
2/28/2026, 3:00:31 PM9 trades$3,23411 min
3/13/2026, 6:03:57 PM30 trades$2,90121 min
4/20/2026, 1:09:40 AM6 trades$2,8483 min
3/2/2026, 5:39:17 PM1 trades$2,0000 min
3/9/2026, 8:27:21 AM25 trades$1,9142 min
3/22/2026, 8:10:23 AM6 trades$1,8002 min
3/11/2026, 7:43:33 PM10 trades$1,7246 min
3/7/2026, 5:02:25 PM4 trades$1,5805 min
3/20/2026, 3:33:03 AM2 trades$1,5000 min
3/18/2026, 7:47:17 PM3 trades$1,4974 min
3/14/2026, 6:30:11 PM4 trades$1,4054 min
2/27/2026, 8:47:59 AM2 trades$1,1932 min
2/28/2026, 2:44:23 PM6 trades$1,1646 min
3/15/2026, 2:25:35 PM7 trades$1,1322 min
3/14/2026, 1:45:59 AM6 trades$1,0542 min
3/19/2026, 5:10:51 PM1 trades$1,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-11
02-23
03-01
03-08
03-13
03-19
03-28
06-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 81 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.31/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.1 / M33.9 / H47.1