@0x129DD2…2371

#2,450,32619

0x129dd26985afcf68f75d178aa6f5206237a62c7d

~12d· 144 markets · 934 tradesVol: $5,9532026-08-05 03:16:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (68/144)8.6/20
0.51x (win $77 / loss $152)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.3860/15
Sortino -8.1840/10
$-0.0375 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 106 (144 markets)10/10
1/12 profitable days (8%)0/10
Max DD 675% of peak ($88 / $13)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
63% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
4% sells
DCA Master
Avg 6.5 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

2
CRYPTO#798,280$-0Vol: $3,928
🌤️ WEATHER#280,668$-70Vol: $1,878

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-70
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,953
Total Redeem
$35
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
144
total markets
Trades
894B / 40S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-70
Vol: $5,953

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
68W / 76L events
Realized PnL
$-70
Win Rate
47%
68W / 76L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $34 (0.4877839691384484% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?$2

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?$-31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?$-23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 21?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 21?$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$-4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 8?$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.420
Sortino
-0.471
HHI
112
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.037
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
11.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.4m
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 18s — normal for humanCV 0.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)44% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity7 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.49
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.4%
Mid (20-55c)59.3%
High (>55c)37.4%

Sessions

#12
3/2/2026, 3:05:45 AM84 trades$19451 min
3/3/2026, 4:06:59 AM56 trades$13425 min
6/17/2026, 2:01:56 PM21 trades$1281 min
3/2/2026, 5:21:57 AM61 trades$12825 min
6/20/2026, 7:18:43 AM18 trades$1200 min
3/3/2026, 3:37:01 AM53 trades$11820 min
3/2/2026, 4:40:07 AM43 trades$10533 min
2/15/2026, 9:15:31 AM26 trades$5210 min
2/15/2026, 5:38:39 PM18 trades$518 min
2/15/2026, 9:00:43 AM25 trades$506 min
2/15/2026, 4:55:11 PM20 trades$4510 min
3/3/2026, 4:47:01 AM19 trades$456 min
6/20/2026, 9:40:17 AM4 trades$410 min
2/16/2026, 10:52:51 AM16 trades$395 min
2/15/2026, 7:46:37 AM14 trades$346 min
2/15/2026, 10:43:15 AM15 trades$349 min
2/15/2026, 8:09:49 AM17 trades$309 min
2/15/2026, 4:17:01 PM15 trades$304 min
2/16/2026, 8:05:09 AM13 trades$307 min
2/13/2026, 8:16:29 AM10 trades$279 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-05
02-13
02-16
03-03
03-08
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 127 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
24% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.49/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L3.4 / M59.3 / H37.4