@0x12Ac61…2171

#2,680,64015

0x12ac61f06b37bca05d491bbf35f83481af2c0ca4

~19d· 20 markets · 81 tradesVol: $4,3602026-08-05 00:39:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (10/20)10/20
0.35x (win $223 / loss $635)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.4720/15
Sortino -3.5050/10
$-0.1606 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6594 (20 markets)0/10
7/14 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 513% of peak ($600 / $117)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

2
⚽ SPORTS#1,729,416$-176Vol: $4,150
🏛️ POLITICS#275,569$2Vol: $210

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-174
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,360
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
43B / 38S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
10W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-174
Win Rate
50%
10W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.35x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-71

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $203 (1.1678374021188394% of PnL)

Top Winners

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 0.5$105
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$83
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$14
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$5
Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 0.5$4
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5$2
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?$1
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$0

Top Losers

Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5$-600
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5$-9
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$-8
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-7
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5$-4
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$-3
Will England win on 2026-07-11?$-3
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?$-2
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 0.5$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.175
Sortino
-0.122
HHI
6549
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.160
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
80%
Top-5 markets
97.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
32.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.9h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
39
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1928s — normal for humanCV 3.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.45
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.3%
Mid (20-55c)44.2%
High (>55c)46.5%

Sessions

#12
7/3/2026, 11:09:04 PM2 trades$2,1030 min
7/3/2026, 8:24:31 PM4 trades$1,0530 min
7/4/2026, 7:01:02 PM2 trades$3130 min
7/10/2026, 8:12:23 PM4 trades$613 min
7/10/2026, 8:39:22 PM4 trades$441 min
7/10/2026, 9:00:19 PM2 trades$400 min
7/10/2026, 8:46:32 PM4 trades$341 min
7/10/2026, 7:48:07 PM2 trades$300 min
7/5/2026, 9:53:34 PM4 trades$301 min
7/11/2026, 10:18:58 PM6 trades$187 min
6/29/2026, 9:22:44 AM2 trades$170 min
7/11/2026, 11:09:49 PM3 trades$141 min
3/28/2026, 3:05:29 AM1 trades$130 min
3/28/2026, 9:13:07 AM2 trades$90 min
4/12/2026, 12:32:05 PM3 trades$80 min
3/24/2026, 2:46:21 PM2 trades$81 min
7/11/2026, 9:41:31 PM3 trades$83 min
7/11/2026, 10:57:52 PM2 trades$80 min
3/31/2026, 11:34:07 AM1 trades$80 min
3/30/2026, 7:09:51 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-28
03-31
04-12
06-29
07-04
07-07
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.3 / M44.2 / H46.5