drakelong

@drakelong

#7,67587

0x12d51de654df441c57e97c81156613681114f0eb

~43d· 51 markets · 659 tradesVol: $423,7392026-08-04 21:44:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (33/48)19.4/20
2.10x (win $53,861 / loss $25,619)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.97515/15
Sortino 4.86910/10
$+0.1399 per $1 invested7/10
HHI 542 (48 markets)9.8/10
23/33 profitable days (70%)9.9/10
Max DD 66% of peak ($19,176 / $29,126)0.8/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Profitable
PnL $+20,519
Lottery Player
30% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 13.3 entries/market
Whale
$201,864 invested
Consistent
23/33 profitable days
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#2,800$14,514Vol: $219,388
🌤️ WEATHER#923$2,058Vol: $44,546
💻 TECH#259,061$-7,590Vol: $37,789
CRYPTO#40,146$585Vol: $27,499
📢 MENTIONS#170,797$-273Vol: $23,760
💰 FINANCE#4,499$912Vol: $20,699
📈 ECONOMICS#586$10,941Vol: $17,011
🎭 CULTURE#811,055$-1,050Vol: $16,726
SPORTS#61,518$423Vol: $16,321

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$20,519
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$423,739
Total Redeem
$17,160
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
379B / 280S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d

Periods

#2
Today
$-8
Vol: $0
Week
$-163
Vol: $1,265
Month
$-277
Vol: $2,540
All Time
$20,519
Vol: $423,739

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
33W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$20,519
Win Rate
69%
33W / 15L
Profit Factor
2.1x
Avg Win
$1,632
Avg Loss
$-1,830

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $37,139 (1.8099778549302992% of PnL)

Top Winners

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$22,560
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$8,879
US strikes Iraq by February 28?$5,701
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$2,865
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?$2,633
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?$1,485
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?$1,325
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?$1,195
AWS service disrupted by March 31?$912
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$696

Top Losers

Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$-10,399
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$-8,777
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$-1,140
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$-1,100
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$-737
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?$-697
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 16.5m and 18m?$-673
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?$-613
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 19.5m?$-588
Will Trump say "Nancy" or "Pelosi" this week? (March 22)$-393

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.153
Sortino
0.138
HHI
913
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.118
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.4%
Top-5 markets
55.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
52.6m
between trades
Night Trading
54%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 60s — normal for humanCV 2.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)54% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.33
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.3%
Mid (20-55c)18.2%
High (>55c)51.5%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 2:55:09 AM24 trades$22,2740 min
3/24/2026, 2:11:05 AM49 trades$13,58022 min
6/2/2026, 8:19:22 AM1 trades$12,9090 min
6/16/2026, 2:33:15 AM9 trades$12,0526 min
1/20/2026, 11:17:10 PM1 trades$11,9880 min
2/2/2026, 11:23:20 AM1 trades$11,9540 min
3/3/2026, 2:00:03 PM5 trades$10,9298 min
4/23/2026, 3:42:24 AM1 trades$10,8690 min
5/7/2026, 7:08:38 AM25 trades$9,6450 min
3/14/2026, 10:13:59 PM1 trades$7,9680 min
5/2/2026, 1:44:38 PM2 trades$7,9540 min
3/25/2026, 11:25:43 PM2 trades$7,0341 min
5/11/2026, 11:21:47 PM14 trades$5,5080 min
4/1/2026, 4:07:33 AM2 trades$5,3561 min
6/8/2026, 2:46:49 AM7 trades$5,3041 min
3/31/2026, 7:38:01 PM2 trades$4,8872 min
5/26/2026, 10:02:04 PM12 trades$4,5010 min
6/16/2026, 11:59:04 PM2 trades$4,3220 min
6/8/2026, 3:17:12 AM12 trades$4,18616 min
3/24/2026, 2:41:19 AM5 trades$4,1188 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-30
03-03
03-23
04-06
05-11
06-08
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L30.3 / M18.2 / H51.5