KI-on

@KI-on

#2,959,87539

0x1352c76833bc06e04814ce32bb48a7f182972f95

~57d· 443 markets · 2618 tradesVol: $123,4632026-08-04 23:35:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

64% (284/442)17.1/20
0.98x (win $3,370 / loss $3,435)2.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2430/15
Sortino -0.2960/10
$-0.0017 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 493 (442 markets)10/10
40/54 profitable days (74%)10/10
Max DD 127% of peak ($508 / $399)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 64%
DCA Master
Avg 5.9 entries/market
Consistent
40/54 profitable days
Win Streak
12 wins in a row

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#297,493$-954Vol: $109,456
₿ CRYPTO#1,579,410$-396Vol: $14,005
🎭 CULTURE#347,102$-0Vol: $2
📢 MENTIONS#81,381$-1Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,352
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$123,463
Total Redeem
$5,220
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
443
total markets
Trades
725B / 1893S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-9
Vol: $44
Month
$-9
Vol: $44
All Time
$-1,352
Vol: $123,463

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
64%
284W / 158L events
Realized PnL
$-1,352
Win Rate
64%
284W / 158L
Profit Factor
0.98x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-23

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,067 (0.7896107547407129% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$789
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$180
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$99
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$72
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 11?$66
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$64
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or higher on June 13?$60
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 8?$59
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 10?$57
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$51

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$-320
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 17?$-264
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$-261
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 11?$-250
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 27?$-208
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on June 6?$-207
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 2?$-175
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$-160
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$-91
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$-80

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.013
Sortino
-0.013
HHI
69
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
7.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
29.1
Active
Markets / Day
4.9
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 296s — normal for humanCV 1.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity29 trades/day — high frequency4.9 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.91
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.7%
Mid (20-55c)28.1%
High (>55c)67.2%

Sessions

#12
4/27/2026, 6:28:30 PM443 trades$29,9501 min
6/4/2026, 4:40:12 PM34 trades$1,53814 min
6/6/2026, 7:34:42 AM22 trades$1,1238 min
6/16/2026, 3:09:52 AM20 trades$9609 min
6/5/2026, 3:33:21 AM6 trades$9290 min
6/5/2026, 4:03:34 PM9 trades$8110 min
6/17/2026, 3:35:48 AM19 trades$8046 min
4/26/2026, 10:50:26 AM42 trades$7510 min
6/8/2026, 2:25:43 PM13 trades$6623 min
5/13/2026, 11:32:29 AM26 trades$63310 min
6/7/2026, 6:34:04 PM4 trades$6220 min
5/12/2026, 3:00:09 PM18 trades$6085 min
6/6/2026, 3:27:03 PM7 trades$5680 min
6/9/2026, 3:54:18 AM23 trades$5589 min
6/12/2026, 2:15:33 PM7 trades$5523 min
6/20/2026, 3:08:41 PM6 trades$5452 min
7/14/2026, 2:43:13 PM4 trades$5430 min
6/24/2026, 3:58:10 PM54 trades$5411 min
5/14/2026, 3:13:26 PM23 trades$5358 min
6/17/2026, 3:30:31 PM6 trades$5300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-03
05-13
06-05
06-14
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
40% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
72.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.91/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.7 / M28.1 / H67.2