FrostDays

@FrostDays

#107,82687

0x138b5b2efdc9adb35d35b70ffd27f2469131b6d5

~119d· 2282 markets · 5996 tradesVol: $243,629 @heitorr272026-08-05 17:24:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

99% (2247/2281)20/20
1.75x (win $1,588 / loss $908)11.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.29315/15
Sortino 9.49010/10
$+0.0059 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 6 (2281 markets)10/10
101/116 profitable days (87%)10/10
Max DD 18% of peak ($123 / $679)10/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 99%
Profitable
PnL $+581
Whale
$115,878 invested
Consistent
101/116 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 18%
Win Streak
217 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
89% maker orders

Categories

3
🌤️ WEATHER#2,417$545Vol: $243,191
SPORTS#182,004$40Vol: $400
CRYPTO#475,383$0Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$586
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$243,629
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2282
total markets
Trades
5326B / 670S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~119d

Periods

#2
Today
$4
Vol: $606
Week
$13
Vol: $2,559
Month
$30
Vol: $3,577
All Time
$586
Vol: $243,629

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
99%
2247W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$581
Win Rate
99%
2247W / 34L
Profit Factor
1.75x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-28

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $184 (0.31684634726001454% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$172
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 20?$7
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 12?$5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 14?$4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 8?$4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on March 10?$4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on March 12?$4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 12?$4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on March 9?$4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 17?$4

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-58
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on March 10?$-50
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?$-45
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?$-41
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 12?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 29?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 12?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on May 11?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.328
Sortino
0.383
HHI
6
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.2%
Top-5 markets
0.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
39.2
Active
Markets / Day
14.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
30.2m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 562s — normal for humanCV 0.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock39 trades/day — high frequency15 markets/day — mass coverage89% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.63
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.1%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)99.9%

Sessions

#12
3/12/2026, 3:46:21 AM9 trades$3341 min
3/9/2026, 5:41:21 PM6 trades$3002 min
5/9/2026, 4:32:51 PM7 trades$2715 min
6/12/2026, 8:23:28 AM13 trades$2697 min
6/11/2026, 1:34:46 AM12 trades$2462 min
6/19/2026, 4:07:31 PM8 trades$2287 min
4/30/2026, 2:14:00 AM10 trades$2149 min
5/12/2026, 8:56:09 AM7 trades$2127 min
6/5/2026, 4:55:30 PM6 trades$20114 min
4/25/2026, 2:28:56 PM7 trades$19610 min
6/7/2026, 6:22:18 AM6 trades$1943 min
3/12/2026, 6:49:27 AM9 trades$18913 min
6/18/2026, 5:58:05 AM8 trades$1837 min
6/4/2026, 8:48:16 AM4 trades$18210 min
6/14/2026, 4:24:46 PM4 trades$18110 min
3/12/2026, 6:32:37 AM7 trades$1798 min
4/28/2026, 10:29:18 PM11 trades$1678 min
3/10/2026, 1:05:49 AM4 trades$1661 min
4/2/2026, 12:39:49 PM8 trades$1638 min
4/30/2026, 1:55:48 PM4 trades$1616 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-05
03-24
04-30
05-29
06-21
07-12
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
92% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.63/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.1 / M0 / H99.9