@DecisionLess

#81,93614

0x13bb56d959795a8b817fb9fa0a7a9c43c805c279

~228d· 342 markets · 1097 tradesVol: $73,6602026-08-04 23:42:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (104/333)0.6/20
0.94x (win $2,960 / loss $3,134)1.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2740/15
Sortino -0.3790/10
$-0.0202 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 230 (333 markets)10/10
60/170 profitable days (35%)1.3/10
Max DD 157% of peak ($1,002 / $637)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+994
Lottery Player
55% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#39,927$247Vol: $31,142
CRYPTO#49,118$373Vol: $15,703
SPORTS#69,131$329Vol: $6,893
💰 FINANCE#12,447$197Vol: $6,602
🎭 CULTURE#758,650$-47Vol: $5,517
📢 MENTIONS#166,941$-142Vol: $4,559
💻 TECH#8,978$45Vol: $2,741
📈 ECONOMICS#606,108$-12Vol: $499

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$994
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$73,660
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
342
total markets
Trades
800B / 297S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~228d

Periods

#2
Today
$191
Vol: $425
Week
$177
Vol: $755
Month
$242
Vol: $2,322
All Time
$994
Vol: $73,660

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
104W / 229L events
Realized PnL
$994
Win Rate
31%
104W / 229L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-14

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $895 (0.8995324048469002% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?$445
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals$285
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by March 31?$165
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?$150
Will Powell say "War" during April press conference?$96
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$82
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$78
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$77
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$77
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$75

Top Losers

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-442
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-289
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-174
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$-168
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-120
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?$-105
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$-96
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19?$-70
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2PM ET$-70
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on November 5?$-63

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.014
Sortino
-0.017
HHI
220
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.020
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.4%
Top-5 markets
26%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 988s — normal for humanCV 2.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.37
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)54.6%
Mid (20-55c)29.9%
High (>55c)15.5%

Sessions

#12
7/3/2026, 12:24:59 AM3 trades$5884 min
2/27/2025, 12:27:40 AM2 trades$5073 min
2/28/2025, 2:08:04 AM2 trades$4933 min
7/29/2026, 11:14:35 PM12 trades$3051 min
2/16/2025, 12:52:01 AM1 trades$3000 min
7/24/2026, 10:58:16 PM1 trades$2970 min
10/10/2025, 5:16:14 AM2 trades$2001 min
4/13/2024, 1:52:21 AM2 trades$1980 min
7/5/2025, 5:08:51 PM1 trades$1970 min
7/6/2026, 5:10:05 AM3 trades$1900 min
7/5/2025, 7:43:29 AM1 trades$1900 min
7/12/2025, 9:53:06 PM2 trades$1804 min
5/5/2026, 10:27:38 AM1 trades$1780 min
8/5/2025, 9:40:20 AM2 trades$1634 min
4/4/2026, 1:01:03 AM5 trades$1552 min
8/5/2025, 11:47:58 AM1 trades$1530 min
10/30/2025, 10:18:17 PM1 trades$1520 min
7/17/2026, 1:14:40 AM2 trades$1510 min
4/29/2026, 6:22:02 AM7 trades$1496 min
4/7/2026, 5:29:45 PM6 trades$1460 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-13
07-19
10-30
12-21
02-05
04-23
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 477 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.37/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L54.6 / M29.9 / H15.5