@PascalAgent

#274,53668

0x13caef8f4f3d5f23a1e444b011a26b4d68d51b86

~17d· 31 markets · 240 tradesVol: $15,8642026-08-04 21:45:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (9/30)0/20
2.12x (win $1,057 / loss $499)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.31515/15
Sortino 10.87910/10
$+0.3993 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1064 (30 markets)7.2/10
6/12 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 43% of peak ($424 / $982)5.4/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+72
Contrarian
63% entries < $0.55

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#280,825$-70Vol: $10,173
CRYPTO#105,410$81Vol: $5,466
💰 FINANCE#24,565$56Vol: $155
SPORTS#328,304$5Vol: $70

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$72
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,864
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
31
total markets
Trades
95B / 145S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

Periods

#2
Today
$-21
Vol: $28
Week
$-19
Vol: $28
Month
$-17
Vol: $28
All Time
$72
Vol: $15,864

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
9W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$72
Win Rate
30%
9W / 21L
Profit Factor
2.12x
Avg Win
$117
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $971 (13.39232997654849% of PnL)

Top Winners

Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?$675
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$225
Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?$72
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?$29
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$27
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?$15
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 29?$12
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 9?$2
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 8?$2

Top Losers

GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?$-271
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-64
Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-58
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 30?$-22
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-19
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 8?$-14
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 8?$-13
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 9?$-7
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on June 30?$-5
Arcium FDV above $800M one day after launch?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.216
Sortino
0.465
HHI
1196
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.455
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
25.1%
Top-5 markets
68.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 213s — normal for humanCV 2.42 — diverse sizes (human-like)44% night trades — never sleeps13/24 hours — normal schedule5 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.77
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.4%
Mid (20-55c)35.8%
High (>55c)36.8%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 5:11:07 AM8 trades$5321 min
6/27/2026, 6:17:14 AM13 trades$4420 min
6/28/2026, 8:23:05 AM20 trades$4138 min
6/30/2026, 7:02:07 AM10 trades$3380 min
6/30/2026, 6:44:20 AM3 trades$2500 min
6/30/2026, 6:52:41 AM8 trades$2384 min
6/26/2026, 2:52:59 AM2 trades$2350 min
6/23/2026, 3:07:53 AM8 trades$2077 min
6/24/2026, 11:51:38 AM4 trades$1890 min
6/29/2026, 2:04:29 PM4 trades$1800 min
6/27/2026, 10:56:50 AM2 trades$1440 min
6/11/2026, 8:40:40 AM2 trades$1400 min
6/22/2026, 3:37:46 AM9 trades$1002 min
6/26/2026, 4:18:07 AM2 trades$930 min
6/24/2026, 11:42:41 AM2 trades$830 min
6/23/2026, 12:24:35 PM5 trades$801 min
6/30/2026, 2:22:29 AM6 trades$600 min
7/30/2026, 11:45:05 AM4 trades$510 min
6/17/2026, 2:01:31 PM7 trades$444 min
6/23/2026, 2:09:26 PM10 trades$431 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-11
06-22
06-27
06-29
07-08
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 32 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
40% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.77/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L27.4 / M35.8 / H36.8