@frozenriver

#4,73873

0x143732d8a06bd1596c694f7873cd493be80aacfe

~335d· 12222 markets · 146587 tradesVol: $14,089,796 @xyzna422026-08-04 23:02:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (2611/12197)0/20
2.06x (win $409,878 / loss $199,300)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.21615/15
Sortino 19.55510/10
$+0.5788 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 38 (12197 markets)10/10
119/293 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 10% of peak ($23,336 / $233,910)10/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+36,196
Lottery Player
92% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
1% sells
Whale
$363,786 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 10%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
98% maker orders

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,074$38,755Vol: $12,946,379
💰 FINANCE#656,918$-2,654Vol: $450,025
SPORTS#1,643,320$-75Vol: $221,921
🏛️ POLITICS#1,596,121$-467Vol: $211,101
🎭 CULTURE#11,775$265Vol: $149,433
📢 MENTIONS#89,684$-1Vol: $58,459
💻 TECH#256,966$-737Vol: $44,175
🌤️ WEATHER#235,632$-7Vol: $2,775
📈 ECONOMICS#3,161$969Vol: $1,900

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$36,196
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,089,796
Total Redeem
$69,089
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
12222
total markets
Trades
145809B / 778S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~335d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $26,565
Week
$15
Vol: $27,728
Month
$47
Vol: $28,183
All Time
$36,196
Vol: $14,089,796

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
2611W / 9586L events
Realized PnL
$36,196
Win Rate
21%
2611W / 9586L
Profit Factor
2.06x
Avg Win
$157
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $31,798 (0.8784907612001902% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$13,160
Ethereum Up or Down on November 5?$11,280
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3AM ET$7,358
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$6,790
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10PM ET$6,399
Solana Up or Down - November 10, 8PM ET$6,155
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 8PM ET$5,686
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$5,233
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$3,235
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8PM ET$2,932

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-4,174
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11?$-1,667
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?$-1,633
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20?$-1,377
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16?$-1,337
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$-1,292
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$-1,276
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 24?$-1,236

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.168
Sortino
0.965
HHI
27
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.573
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.1%
Top-5 markets
6.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
254.9
Very active
Markets / Day
21.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
6s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.4m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
22 min
Avg Trades / Session
278.1

Bot Detection

#6
95
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
59% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 8.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock255 trades/day — automation21 markets/day — mass coverage98% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.1
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)91.8%
Mid (20-55c)7.4%
High (>55c)0.8%

Sessions

#12
4/2/2025, 3:35:44 PM31 trades$5,11118 min
8/8/2025, 7:16:21 AM45 trades$4,9048 min
4/25/2026, 7:46:30 PM12 trades$4,1960 min
8/8/2025, 7:04:53 AM36 trades$3,8001 min
4/28/2025, 10:07:15 AM18 trades$3,7561 min
10/15/2025, 9:03:07 AM14 trades$3,7122 min
4/28/2026, 1:30:16 PM12 trades$3,3948 min
12/3/2025, 2:02:03 PM493 trades$3,3655 min
3/30/2026, 1:30:37 PM307 trades$3,34416 min
2/12/2025, 1:32:36 PM27 trades$3,3095 min
10/15/2025, 2:24:41 AM37 trades$2,3438 min
5/8/2026, 8:26:17 PM20 trades$2,2772 min
10/10/2025, 6:45:08 PM37 trades$2,0039 min
1/13/2025, 8:03:15 AM7 trades$1,9063 min
10/26/2025, 10:04:23 PM242 trades$1,8794 min
3/25/2026, 1:11:49 PM2331 trades$1,807179 min
7/18/2025, 11:57:12 PM2 trades$1,6811 min
3/25/2026, 6:14:07 PM1999 trades$1,680161 min
1/10/2025, 5:29:20 PM56 trades$1,6241 min
9/26/2025, 11:31:40 AM7 trades$1,62215 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-08
06-06
09-14
11-02
03-19
06-06
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 110 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.1/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L91.8 / M7.4 / H0.8