@cptdan

#2,833,56940

0x148340ff602eb196ba39cb516010ab1e5c575b8f

~30d· 50 markets · 170 tradesVol: $30,9552026-08-05 03:15:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

74% (37/50)20/20
0.77x (win $655 / loss $845)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4440/15
Sortino -1.6240/10
$-0.0405 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 414 (50 markets)10/10
21/30 profitable days (70%)10/10
Max DD 595% of peak ($467 / $78)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 74%
Consistent
21/30 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

4
₿ CRYPTO#1,567,548$-315Vol: $16,057
⚽ SPORTS#296,115$8Vol: $9,309
🎭 CULTURE#785,126$-115Vol: $5,235
🏛️ POLITICS#1,383,319$-21Vol: $354

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-443
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$30,955
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
50
total markets
Trades
59B / 111S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
74%
37W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-443
Win Rate
74%
37W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-85

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $244 (0.5501219181793552% of PnL)

Top Winners

Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?$157
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$48
XRP Up or Down - July 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$39
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$36
Canada vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$30
Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$30
Exact Score: Racing Club 1 - 0 Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata?$24
Exact Score: Qingdao Hainiu FC 1 - 1 Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC?$22
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5$20
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$19

Top Losers

England vs. Ghana: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$-282
Will FC Rapid 1923 win on 2026-07-27?$-279
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$-115
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 4.5$-60
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5$-47
Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30? $-17
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?$-14
Club Brugge KV vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score$-14
Will Belarus win on 2025-11-15?$-12
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.074
Sortino
-0.056
HHI
418
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.041
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.1%
Top-5 markets
36.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.9h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 8972s — normal for humanCV 1.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.4
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.7%
Mid (20-55c)5.1%
High (>55c)93.2%

Sessions

#12
7/20/2026, 6:59:52 AM3 trades$4910 min
7/19/2026, 5:29:49 PM21 trades$4570 min
7/11/2026, 11:39:53 PM2 trades$4340 min
7/2/2026, 9:13:26 PM5 trades$2902 min
7/13/2026, 9:04:43 PM13 trades$2540 min
7/11/2026, 10:50:04 PM2 trades$2170 min
7/20/2026, 11:16:28 PM8 trades$2130 min
6/23/2026, 7:31:20 PM3 trades$2020 min
7/7/2026, 9:01:01 PM2 trades$1640 min
7/27/2026, 8:08:25 PM3 trades$1420 min
7/27/2026, 8:20:48 PM2 trades$1420 min
7/20/2026, 7:32:30 PM4 trades$1370 min
7/27/2026, 12:03:52 PM2 trades$1220 min
7/4/2026, 9:09:16 PM2 trades$1150 min
7/4/2025, 2:44:25 AM1 trades$1150 min
7/1/2025, 8:27:45 PM1 trades$1080 min
7/17/2026, 10:59:19 AM6 trades$1070 min
7/26/2026, 9:31:30 AM3 trades$1060 min
6/23/2025, 9:00:17 PM2 trades$1041 min
6/30/2025, 8:57:28 PM1 trades$1010 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-22
07-01
06-04
07-02
07-17
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 357 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.7 / M5.1 / H93.2