@0x149b…d435

#296,11436

0x149bcbfbdc772d60cdb252c1513405cef7c8d435

~139d· 436 markets · 6825 tradesVol: $178,6642026-08-04 20:59:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (181/373)9.3/20
1.05x (win $1,280 / loss $1,220)3.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2444.6/15
Sortino 0.6046/10
$+0.0119 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 538 (373 markets)9.8/10
35/83 profitable days (42%)3/10
Max DD 92% of peak ($392 / $426)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+59
Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 15.0 entries/market
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#35,297$310Vol: $144,486
🎭 CULTURE#765,865$-57Vol: $21,220
📈 ECONOMICS#596,064$-10Vol: $4,272
SPORTS#1,635,178$-70Vol: $2,521
CRYPTO#1,375,327$-45Vol: $2,499
🌤️ WEATHER#198,347$-1Vol: $1,926
💰 FINANCE#547,592$-5Vol: $1,036
📢 MENTIONS#110,095$-4Vol: $37
💻 TECH#73,763$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$59
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$178,664
Total Redeem
$115
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
436
total markets
Trades
4186B / 2639S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~139d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $79
Week
$0
Vol: $612
Month
$-1
Vol: $3,317
All Time
$59
Vol: $178,664

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
180W / 193L events
Realized PnL
$59
Win Rate
48%
180W / 193L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $639 (10.808056872037916% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iraq by February 28?$290
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$176
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 30% in February?$173
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$121
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$63
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?$38
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner$28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$25
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$24
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils$24

Top Losers

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-90
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-58
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$-50
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs$-48
Predators vs. Stars$-43
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-40
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO5) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs$-37
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$-35
Islanders vs. Blue Jackets$-34
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-33

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.013
Sortino
0.029
HHI
262
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.012
Kelly %
8.5%
Half-Kelly
4.2%
Top-1 market
10.5%
Top-5 markets
30.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
41.6
Active
Markets / Day
2.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
36s
between trades
Avg Gap
39.4m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
45.0

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 36s — normal for humanCV 3.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock42 trades/day — high frequency2.7 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.03
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)39.1%
Mid (20-55c)17.6%
High (>55c)43.3%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 5:22:10 PM22 trades$1,1550 min
6/1/2026, 7:35:48 PM28 trades$1,0330 min
6/21/2026, 10:23:37 PM25 trades$4938 min
7/1/2026, 3:55:55 PM18 trades$4070 min
2/22/2026, 11:31:22 AM212 trades$39134 min
3/7/2026, 12:45:49 AM4 trades$3584 min
7/16/2026, 11:34:46 AM18 trades$3561 min
7/3/2026, 9:30:01 AM55 trades$3131 min
5/26/2026, 9:13:46 AM60 trades$27610 min
3/1/2026, 12:54:07 AM254 trades$26829 min
5/28/2026, 11:12:05 AM15 trades$2352 min
6/2/2026, 3:36:43 PM9 trades$2220 min
4/15/2026, 7:02:50 AM2 trades$2150 min
5/25/2026, 6:57:14 PM21 trades$2100 min
2/28/2026, 11:47:43 AM1 trades$2020 min
4/28/2026, 6:24:02 PM3 trades$2000 min
2/22/2026, 1:48:28 PM24 trades$18712 min
7/8/2026, 4:02:38 AM6 trades$1861 min
2/28/2026, 11:53:13 AM1 trades$1860 min
6/13/2026, 9:30:42 AM312 trades$1848 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-22
03-07
03-28
04-16
05-13
06-08
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 134 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.03/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L39.1 / M17.6 / H43.3