@Windcroft

#80,24866

0x14ac734a9fdba50f0f13cc69626acbecf1d548d0

~17d· 25 markets · 90 tradesVol: $28,7422026-08-04 20:59:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (11/14)20/20
1.11x (win $599 / loss $540)3.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.79214.8/15
Sortino 0.9539.5/10
$+0.0044 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 972 (14 markets)7.6/10
8/11 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 90% of peak ($540 / $599)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 79%
Profitable
PnL $+1,023
Consistent
8/11 profitable days

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#113,432$30Vol: $20,890
SPORTS#94,252$171Vol: $5,262

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,023
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,742
Total Redeem
$1,099
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
49B / 41S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

Periods

#2
Month
$-41
Vol: $2,156
All Time
$1,023
Vol: $28,742

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
11W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$1,023
Win Rate
79%
11W / 3L
Profit Factor
1.11x
Avg Win
$54
Avg Loss
$-180

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $271 (0.26493437961126154% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$127
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$72
Spread: Al Kholood Saudi Club (-2.5)$71
Spread: CD Concepción (-2.5)$68
Spread: IR Tanger (-1.5)$53
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?$51
Spread: Club Puebla (-2.5)$48
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$36
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)$31
Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)$31

Top Losers

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?$-261
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$-235
Spread: Albania (-2.5)$-44

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.040
Sortino
0.045
HHI
282
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.9%
Top-5 markets
32%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
51.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
46%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
44
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3116s — normal for humanCV 0.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)46% night trades — never sleeps11/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.43
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.4%
Mid (20-55c)4.1%
High (>55c)75.5%

Sessions

#12
6/8/2026, 3:00:06 AM3 trades$9800 min
6/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM4 trades$9580 min
6/3/2026, 7:42:57 AM4 trades$9450 min
7/8/2026, 8:31:05 AM4 trades$9440 min
5/27/2026, 2:27:01 AM2 trades$6370 min
5/26/2026, 5:59:00 AM2 trades$6000 min
5/27/2026, 4:11:10 AM2 trades$5991 min
5/24/2026, 2:18:24 AM2 trades$5820 min
5/24/2026, 8:20:41 AM2 trades$5700 min
5/26/2026, 7:31:17 AM1 trades$5690 min
5/23/2026, 2:02:49 AM2 trades$5470 min
5/9/2026, 2:55:42 AM2 trades$5430 min
5/9/2026, 4:54:59 AM2 trades$5420 min
5/9/2026, 4:26:35 AM1 trades$5270 min
5/6/2026, 9:54:44 AM2 trades$5260 min
5/6/2026, 6:48:26 AM2 trades$5240 min
5/21/2026, 4:19:17 AM2 trades$5100 min
5/23/2026, 3:11:06 AM1 trades$5100 min
5/6/2026, 9:34:20 AM2 trades$5001 min
8/3/2026, 8:04:44 AM2 trades$4780 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-10
04-13
04-14
05-06
05-09
05-21
05-24
05-27
06-03
06-08
07-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 42 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.4 / M4.1 / H75.5