@kroqan

#3,066,51613

0x14d8ac2440af664f8bed93f95b540ba64ac4e8f2

~19d· 47 markets · 3745 tradesVol: $1,475,5272026-08-06 15:54:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (13/45)0/20
0.95x (win $41,183 / loss $43,510)1.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5840/15
Sortino -0.9140/10
$-0.0221 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 586 (45 markets)9.6/10
6/17 profitable days (35%)1.3/10
Max DD 131% of peak ($11,216 / $8,539)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
79% entries < $0.55
Whale
$105,217 invested
High Roller
$3,628/day

Categories

3
CRYPTO#1,677,670$-20,577Vol: $1,319,843
SPORTS#7,711$6,272Vol: $153,943
📈 ECONOMICS#615,740$-15Vol: $1,742

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-14,319
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,475,527
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
2451B / 1294S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
12W / 33L events
Realized PnL
$-14,319
Win Rate
27%
12W / 33L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$3,168
Avg Loss
$-1,360

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,730 (1.028689191463567% of PnL)

Top Winners

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score$5,125
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score$5,023
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4,582
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$4,349
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score$4,061
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$3,670
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$3,178
Ethereum Up or Down on July 12?$2,995
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5$2,936
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$2,479

Top Losers

Will England win on 2026-06-17?$-7,968
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$-5,921
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 13?$-4,960
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-3,352
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$-2,745
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score$-2,624
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-1,908
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$-1,892
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$-1,369
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$-1,193

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.030
Sortino
-0.057
HHI
672
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.2%
Top-5 markets
47.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
129.1
Very active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
12s
between trades
Avg Gap
22.4m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
64.9

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 12s — suspiciously fastCV 7.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity129 trades/day — automation1.6 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
83.53
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.9%
Mid (20-55c)68.3%
High (>55c)20.8%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 9:04:05 PM2 trades$17,0450 min
6/18/2026, 12:54:23 AM8 trades$15,2821 min
7/2/2026, 5:11:41 PM528 trades$12,0273 min
6/17/2026, 7:06:47 PM2 trades$8,1120 min
6/24/2026, 3:50:29 PM158 trades$6,8015 min
7/13/2026, 9:00:14 AM24 trades$6,1717 min
7/2/2026, 6:00:53 PM222 trades$5,7271 min
6/22/2026, 9:37:44 PM134 trades$5,5221 min
7/13/2026, 8:38:46 AM19 trades$4,9840 min
6/17/2026, 10:11:19 PM2 trades$4,9480 min
6/21/2026, 7:39:25 AM5 trades$4,9404 min
6/18/2026, 12:25:20 PM115 trades$4,92460 min
6/22/2026, 9:01:58 PM167 trades$4,8103 min
6/19/2026, 6:48:55 PM3 trades$4,6951 min
6/19/2026, 8:41:29 PM168 trades$4,66714 min
6/22/2026, 10:11:56 PM154 trades$4,1333 min
7/13/2026, 8:53:52 AM14 trades$3,4870 min
6/17/2026, 7:50:40 PM1 trades$3,4650 min
7/12/2026, 3:19:26 PM5 trades$3,3740 min
7/8/2026, 4:40:47 PM161 trades$3,2971 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-17
06-19
06-21
06-23
07-02
07-06
07-09
07-11
07-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 83.53/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L10.9 / M68.3 / H20.8