@0x154506…5006

#3,050,2970

0x154506893d8ea9bcdf2a875a7a6cfe810e173599

~23d· 25 markets · 633 tradesVol: $452,8012026-08-05 02:26:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

15% (3/20)0/20
0.13x (win $1,947 / loss $14,860)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -12.3350/15
Sortino -10.5810/10
$-0.3052 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3956 (20 markets)0/10
2/12 profitable days (17%)0/10
Max DD 3374% of peak ($13,307 / $394)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
68% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,633,890$-4,802Vol: $435,890
💰 FINANCE#655,883$-1,693Vol: $16,910

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6,495
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$452,801
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
152B / 481S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Week
$-78
Vol: $9,270
Month
$-239
Vol: $9,270
All Time
$-6,495
Vol: $452,801

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
15%
3W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-6,495
Win Rate
15%
3W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.13x
Avg Win
$649
Avg Loss
$-874

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,947 (0.29979722208108345% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?$1,573
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?$236
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$138

Top Losers

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$-4,244
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$-3,622
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-2,007
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$-2,005
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$-1,064
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$-601
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$-331
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$-267
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$-208
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$-153

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.618
Sortino
-0.656
HHI
3453
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.335
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
57.4%
Top-5 markets
77.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 694s — normal for humanCV 4.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal5% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
26.9
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)68.4%
Mid (20-55c)17.8%
High (>55c)13.8%

Sessions

#12
4/29/2026, 11:11:44 PM72 trades$30,0292 min
4/14/2026, 2:01:03 PM129 trades$27,4690 min
4/2/2026, 5:07:51 PM21 trades$24,0570 min
5/1/2026, 1:48:46 PM9 trades$18,7520 min
7/2/2026, 9:13:44 AM21 trades$17,1490 min
6/6/2026, 1:54:10 PM87 trades$12,4651 min
4/30/2026, 11:48:08 AM47 trades$12,3510 min
5/11/2026, 1:05:53 AM32 trades$5,7031 min
4/30/2026, 2:42:22 AM27 trades$5,4150 min
8/2/2026, 4:24:33 AM6 trades$5,2270 min
5/10/2026, 11:45:09 PM4 trades$4,6250 min
4/13/2026, 11:20:03 AM31 trades$3,1850 min
4/30/2026, 1:27:38 AM8 trades$3,0970 min
4/6/2026, 2:11:41 PM2 trades$2,3950 min
2/28/2026, 6:41:23 AM1 trades$2,2440 min
4/8/2026, 8:07:47 AM15 trades$2,1180 min
4/6/2026, 9:23:55 AM21 trades$1,5890 min
4/6/2026, 1:41:07 PM17 trades$1,5350 min
2/28/2026, 3:45:59 PM3 trades$1,3902 min
4/6/2026, 1:52:41 PM7 trades$1,3440 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-21
02-25
02-27
03-01
04-08
05-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 98 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
76% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 26.9/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L68.4 / M17.8 / H13.8