@reason.77

#2,971,36962

0x157069267d199d5e275cc99ce5e793361bedde29

~82d· 249 markets · 4127 tradesVol: $371,4352026-08-04 21:46:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (128/249)10.7/20
1.37x (win $25,956 / loss $18,944)7.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.83815/15
Sortino 4.55110/10
$+0.0881 per $1 invested4.4/10
HHI 153 (249 markets)10/10
36/75 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 88% of peak ($6,848 / $7,781)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+1,372
DCA Master
Avg 16.8 entries/market
Whale
$79,556 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#2,203$631Vol: $235,904
SPORTS#1,857,805$-2,127Vol: $135,231
CRYPTO#1,091,153$-7Vol: $200
🏛️ POLITICS#1,415,222$-29Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,531
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$371,435
Total Redeem
$32
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
249
total markets
Trades
1225B / 2902S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~82d

Periods

#2
Today
$156
Vol: $1,875
Week
$160
Vol: $4,977
Month
$474
Vol: $7,041
All Time
$-1,531
Vol: $371,435

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
128W / 121L events
Realized PnL
$1,372
Win Rate
51%
128W / 121L
Profit Factor
1.37x
Avg Win
$203
Avg Loss
$-172

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,127 (7.380632748103286% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spurs vs. Knicks$6,480
Knicks vs. Spurs$2,083
Knicks vs. Spurs$1,564
Spurs vs. Knicks$1,226
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 24?$830
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?$711
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?$691
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?$607
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 21°C on April 24?$534
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?$446

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 9?$-2,303
Spurs vs. Timberwolves$-1,732
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?$-1,613
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?$-917
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 26?$-820
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8?$-800
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?$-797
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 16?$-534
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 10?$-508
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-400

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.096
Sortino
0.205
HHI
178
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.083
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.2%
Top-5 markets
18.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
27.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
54%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 408s — normal for humanCV 2.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)54% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock27 trades/day — high frequency1.6 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.84
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.2%
Mid (20-55c)20.7%
High (>55c)62%

Sessions

#12
5/8/2026, 5:07:40 AM22 trades$7,9885 min
5/7/2026, 2:20:04 AM27 trades$3,19510 min
5/10/2026, 3:33:33 PM6 trades$3,0621 min
5/7/2026, 4:18:29 AM2 trades$2,9840 min
6/6/2026, 3:25:13 AM11 trades$2,6582 min
6/24/2026, 3:24:49 PM4 trades$2,5151 min
7/9/2026, 9:24:37 PM4 trades$2,2200 min
6/25/2026, 12:10:26 AM2 trades$2,1040 min
5/8/2026, 4:42:44 PM25 trades$1,9511 min
5/8/2026, 2:45:32 AM19 trades$1,9113 min
5/8/2026, 9:55:36 AM11 trades$1,8948 min
5/10/2026, 2:45:51 AM2 trades$1,8570 min
4/27/2026, 7:49:30 AM5 trades$1,8290 min
4/29/2026, 9:56:30 AM27 trades$1,5842 min
5/15/2026, 5:20:38 AM19 trades$1,5613 min
5/16/2026, 3:53:11 AM2 trades$1,4990 min
5/7/2026, 3:48:21 AM28 trades$1,4815 min
5/7/2026, 4:09:16 PM32 trades$1,44610 min
5/13/2026, 1:09:36 PM2 trades$1,1500 min
5/8/2026, 4:22:24 AM6 trades$1,1310 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-05
04-28
05-10
06-07
06-19
07-07
07-27
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 17 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
70% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
70.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.84/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.2 / M20.7 / H62