@chrisar

#126,76691

0x15bc54b56375874cc57196b26eafcfa09d7c5bbc

~82d· 72 markets · 232 tradesVol: $45,5602026-08-04 18:55:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

95% (63/66)20/20
18.57x (win $352 / loss $19)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 9.52515/15
Sortino 49.80910/10
$+0.0110 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 298 (66 markets)10/10
49/52 profitable days (94%)10/10
Max DD 5% of peak ($18 / $333)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 95%
Profitable
PnL $+408
Consistent
49/52 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 5%
Win Streak
25 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
CRYPTO#54,150$300Vol: $25,228
📈 ECONOMICS#24,318$28Vol: $7,770
🏛️ POLITICS#117,747$27Vol: $6,339
💰 FINANCE#53,087$11Vol: $3,982
🎭 CULTURE#61,966$12Vol: $879
SPORTS#253,043$14Vol: $481

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$408
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$45,560
Total Redeem
$30
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
72
total markets
Trades
105B / 127S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~82d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$23
Vol: $492
Month
$23
Vol: $492
All Time
$408
Vol: $45,560

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
95%
63W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$408
Win Rate
95%
63W / 3L
Profit Factor
18.57x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $119 (0.2920809050394241% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?$57
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 23?$46
Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?$16
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$15
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$15
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B$15
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$15
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?$14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$12
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$12

Top Losers

Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$-18
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.494
Sortino
0.650
HHI
354
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.010
Kelly %
57.6%
Half-Kelly
28.8%
Top-1 market
7.2%
Top-5 markets
25%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 260s — normal for humanCV 1.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.5
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
12/24/2025, 2:20:57 AM4 trades$2,6142 min
12/8/2025, 7:06:29 AM2 trades$2,3221 min
5/18/2026, 2:09:02 AM4 trades$1,6610 min
11/29/2025, 12:50:41 AM1 trades$1,1370 min
4/28/2026, 7:47:40 AM2 trades$1,1140 min
1/15/2026, 11:49:58 AM5 trades$1,1032 min
1/15/2026, 11:39:56 AM1 trades$1,1030 min
11/3/2025, 12:12:19 PM3 trades$1,0681 min
2/2/2026, 1:24:18 AM3 trades$1,0582 min
3/24/2026, 1:40:25 AM4 trades$1,0513 min
10/29/2025, 6:56:25 AM11 trades$1,0224 min
2/6/2026, 2:53:47 AM3 trades$1,0071 min
1/30/2026, 9:50:32 AM1 trades$9680 min
11/24/2025, 12:47:21 AM1 trades$9630 min
7/2/2026, 2:16:17 AM4 trades$9620 min
11/8/2025, 3:08:51 AM3 trades$8921 min
11/6/2025, 2:08:19 AM1 trades$8910 min
11/5/2025, 1:24:01 AM2 trades$8862 min
11/1/2025, 8:46:43 AM2 trades$8850 min
8/3/2026, 4:21:59 AM2 trades$8560 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-18
11-12
12-24
02-09
03-19
05-04
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100