@sarachmax

#2,619,30221

0x15ced64bf862218595b989429b66d7fe010d7a5d

~47d· 344 markets · 938 tradesVol: $24,4672026-08-08 00:34:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (171/339)10.2/20
0.78x (win $815 / loss $1,049)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.9940/15
Sortino -4.9900/10
$-0.0872 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 466 (339 markets)10/10
16/47 profitable days (34%)1/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($260 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
CRYPTO#115,292$65Vol: $12,729
🌤️ WEATHER#291,802$-203Vol: $8,445
SPORTS#1,585,466$-47Vol: $386

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-125
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,467
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
344
total markets
Trades
544B / 394S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~47d

Periods

#2
Today
$-58
Vol: $185
Week
$-56
Vol: $2,717
Month
$-26
Vol: $3,047
All Time
$-125
Vol: $24,467

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
171W / 168L events
Realized PnL
$-125
Win Rate
50%
171W / 168L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $98 (0.7884276326334348% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on July 11?$37
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$32
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 10?$29
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$22
Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$21
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$16
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winner$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$13

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 11?$-51
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$-40
Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$-38
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$-32
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$-27
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 10?$-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$-21
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$-21
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$-21

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.207
Sortino
-0.274
HHI
134
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.088
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
18.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.1
Active
Markets / Day
6.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 468s — normal for humanCV 1.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active6.3 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.72
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.5%
Mid (20-55c)25.6%
High (>55c)66.9%

Sessions

#12
7/28/2026, 2:05:43 AM5 trades$1,0103 min
6/15/2026, 10:52:03 AM6 trades$3073 min
7/3/2026, 8:33:50 AM4 trades$1781 min
7/11/2026, 10:03:10 AM19 trades$1638 min
7/8/2026, 1:46:37 PM4 trades$1493 min
7/11/2026, 4:02:44 AM20 trades$12416 min
7/3/2026, 9:21:29 AM15 trades$10510 min
7/11/2026, 9:50:34 AM4 trades$963 min
7/10/2026, 8:32:10 AM4 trades$720 min
7/3/2026, 3:42:04 PM10 trades$633 min
7/9/2026, 4:12:07 AM9 trades$562 min
6/16/2026, 6:33:15 AM8 trades$532 min
6/30/2026, 4:13:43 PM4 trades$500 min
7/3/2026, 8:21:59 AM2 trades$493 min
7/11/2026, 4:13:10 PM2 trades$480 min
7/14/2026, 4:21:11 AM5 trades$476 min
7/8/2026, 1:05:52 PM7 trades$451 min
7/8/2026, 5:03:37 AM6 trades$456 min
7/6/2026, 2:57:08 AM8 trades$442 min
7/7/2026, 5:16:01 AM7 trades$442 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-14
06-21
06-28
07-05
07-12
07-26
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
16% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.72/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.5 / M25.6 / H66.9