@arsenal85
#47,390130x15e9a4f23c85ce0d5b2016cd029d9185e9b3dacd
~49d· 152 markets · 1065 tradesVol: $46,7962026-08-04 20:06:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
29% (44/152)0/20
0.87x (win $1,078 / loss $1,241)0.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5730/15
Sortino -2.4130/10
$-0.0680 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 314 (152 markets)10/10
17/44 profitable days (39%)2.2/10
Max DD 275% of peak ($256 / $93)0/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+2,260
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
1🌤️ WEATHER#854$2,260Vol: $46,796
Overview
#1Net PnL
$2,260
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$46,796
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
152
total markets
Trades
469B / 596S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d
Periods
#2Today
$40
Vol: $1,614
Week
$86
Vol: $5,799
Month
$123
Vol: $7,354
All Time
$2,260
Vol: $46,796
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
29%
44W / 108L events
Realized PnL
$2,260
Win Rate
29%
44W / 108L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-13
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $388 (0.17172762824936735% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 8?$156
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 18?$137
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 1?$95
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 18?$54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15?$49
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 25?$48
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?$47
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 25?$36
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?$33
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 8?$33
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 18?$-87
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on June 27?$-81
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 29?$-73
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3?$-66
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 20?$-64
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 29?$-56
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 1?$-53
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 25?$-50
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 26?$-45
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 16?$-42
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.081
Sortino
-0.134
HHI
252
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.068
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.6%
Top-5 markets
26.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
11.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 602s — normal for humanCV 1.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active1.6 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.01
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)16.8%
Mid (20-55c)39.4%
High (>55c)43.7%
Sessions
#126/27/2026, 2:41:58 PM4 trades$5440 min
7/28/2026, 11:16:20 AM6 trades$1750 min
6/27/2026, 1:46:28 PM15 trades$1658 min
7/8/2026, 4:52:50 PM6 trades$1111 min
6/20/2026, 5:04:53 PM11 trades$991 min
7/25/2026, 11:50:45 AM19 trades$9719 min
7/25/2026, 7:32:25 AM17 trades$965 min
7/25/2026, 9:16:22 AM17 trades$9112 min
7/18/2026, 9:34:12 PM2 trades$890 min
7/27/2026, 8:36:04 PM6 trades$830 min
6/20/2026, 3:40:55 PM3 trades$830 min
8/1/2026, 7:24:33 AM3 trades$760 min
7/22/2026, 12:27:52 PM6 trades$750 min
7/20/2026, 12:28:27 PM12 trades$742 min
7/28/2026, 4:36:45 AM6 trades$720 min
7/20/2026, 11:36:31 AM8 trades$680 min
6/21/2026, 1:39:16 PM3 trades$660 min
8/3/2026, 12:39:18 PM14 trades$634 min
6/26/2026, 7:35:46 PM7 trades$630 min
7/24/2026, 12:35:31 AM2 trades$590 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-29
05-10
06-10
06-21
07-05
07-20
08-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 16 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.01/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.8 / M39.4 / H43.7