@0x160778…1262

#2,773,7880

0x160778183fa73b891b8aeb4be60477368c820324

~11d· 28 markets · 94 tradesVol: $10,3502026-08-04 18:12:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

15% (4/27)0/20
0.07x (win $67 / loss $951)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -11.6950/15
Sortino -9.9760/10
$-1.2350 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3521 (27 markets)0/10
2/7 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($884 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
51% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,529,743$-110Vol: $3,965
⚽ SPORTS#1,731,360$-181Vol: $3,011
🎭 CULTURE#94,378$5Vol: $2,000
₿ CRYPTO#867,159$-1Vol: $1,000
🌤️ WEATHER#202,660$-2Vol: $375

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-289
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,350
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
35B / 59S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
15%
4W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-289
Win Rate
15%
4W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.07x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-45

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $62 (0.21277551302425204% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 19?$23
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$23
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5$16
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or below on June 22?$6

Top Losers

Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-620
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$-97
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-57
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5$-20
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? $-14
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 19?$-13
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland?$-10
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Japan?$-10
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland?$-10
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 0 Ecuador?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.567
Sortino
-0.508
HHI
2628
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-1.381
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
48.8%
Top-5 markets
72.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
54s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
63%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
15
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 54s — normal for humanCV 2.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)63% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.26
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)51.4%
Mid (20-55c)25.7%
High (>55c)22.9%

Sessions

#12
5/18/2026, 2:56:12 PM3 trades$1,1430 min
6/15/2026, 4:30:52 AM2 trades$7500 min
6/25/2026, 1:40:44 PM7 trades$4760 min
6/13/2026, 5:01:00 AM35 trades$42216 min
6/18/2026, 2:17:13 PM10 trades$4053 min
6/16/2026, 5:21:51 AM7 trades$2220 min
3/8/2026, 5:08:55 AM2 trades$992 min
6/24/2026, 11:44:16 PM6 trades$860 min
6/13/2026, 1:52:33 AM8 trades$623 min
6/19/2026, 7:42:32 PM6 trades$461 min
3/24/2026, 1:59:57 AM1 trades$140 min
6/21/2026, 8:09:50 PM2 trades$80 min
3/8/2026, 5:29:21 AM2 trades$31 min
3/8/2026, 1:15:53 PM1 trades$10 min
6/24/2026, 3:51:29 AM2 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-08
06-13
06-18
06-19
06-21
06-24
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
14.8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.26/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L51.4 / M25.7 / H22.9