@Simmelariii

#3,066,85840

0x163385daa5186066fd15b06b4ebc8b74480b190c

~313d· 7036 markets · 27127 tradesVol: $11,257,2792026-08-04 21:46:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

86% (6065/7033)20/20
0.12x (win $27,252 / loss $235,130)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.9040/15
Sortino -2.8730/10
$-0.0294 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 7 (7033 markets)10/10
228/307 profitable days (74%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($210,177 / $0)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 86%
Whale
$7,063,574 invested
Consistent
228/307 profitable days
High Roller
$14,386/day
Win Streak
61 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#798$2,482Vol: $2,827,900
CRYPTO#1,674,449$-14,138Vol: $2,703,877
SPORTS#1,861,269$-2,414Vol: $1,561,571
🎭 CULTURE#786,363$-123Vol: $804,647
🏛️ POLITICS#1,627,334$-2,325Vol: $417,348
💰 FINANCE#13,186$179Vol: $114,534
📈 ECONOMICS#657,029$-87Vol: $58,665
💻 TECH#240,326$-31Vol: $19,650
📢 MENTIONS#168,857$-195Vol: $10,050

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-19,930
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,257,279
Total Redeem
$1,466,755
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
7036
total markets
Trades
22866B / 4261S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~313d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $3,586
Week
$25
Vol: $42,545
Month
$73
Vol: $68,530
All Time
$-19,930
Vol: $11,257,279

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
86%
6065W / 968L events
Realized PnL
$-19,930
Win Rate
86%
6065W / 968L
Profit Factor
0.12x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-350

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,770 (0.28949189281404525% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?$3,054
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$1,569
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1,147
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$1,129

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$-14,985
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$-14,985
Dota 2: Team Essence vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage$-9,971
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$-9,955
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$-9,900
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$-8,468
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$-8,000
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$-7,962
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$-7,887
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3AM ET$-7,668

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.152
Sortino
-0.080
HHI
7
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.3%
Top-5 markets
1.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
55.2
Very active
Markets / Day
14.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
18.1m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.2

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 112s — normal for humanCV 2.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock55 trades/day — mass trading14 markets/day — mass coverage80% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.86
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.6%
Mid (20-55c)3.7%
High (>55c)91.7%

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 12:11:38 PM4 trades$29,9700 min
6/19/2026, 4:32:50 AM56 trades$25,5097 min
4/8/2026, 9:00:53 PM26 trades$22,74529 min
5/8/2026, 11:02:32 PM15 trades$22,0625 min
3/18/2026, 8:10:37 PM32 trades$20,35714 min
3/30/2026, 11:17:57 PM10 trades$19,8340 min
6/9/2026, 3:36:13 PM34 trades$16,80211 min
3/31/2026, 3:15:37 AM21 trades$15,6082 min
3/29/2026, 2:45:12 PM7 trades$15,3837 min
5/1/2026, 4:30:06 AM8 trades$15,2491 min
5/11/2026, 1:39:58 PM9 trades$15,1526 min
5/20/2026, 6:00:44 AM33 trades$15,10230 min
3/27/2026, 1:28:23 AM22 trades$14,9855 min
3/28/2026, 1:01:29 PM1 trades$14,9850 min
3/28/2026, 4:07:21 PM2 trades$14,9850 min
4/4/2026, 2:11:21 PM3 trades$14,9850 min
4/27/2026, 4:40:16 PM1 trades$14,9850 min
5/2/2026, 11:04:40 AM2 trades$14,9850 min
5/6/2026, 1:24:58 PM2 trades$14,9850 min
5/15/2026, 12:45:08 AM1 trades$14,9850 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-04
09-29
12-07
02-10
04-02
05-27
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
15.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.86/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.6 / M3.7 / H91.7