olkf

@olkf

#12,64268

0x164cb85e1718d0a8f95d588b08fbb52b34233e39

~356d· 1762 markets · 11833 tradesVol: $351,3582026-08-05 17:40:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (921/1762)11.1/20
1.17x (win $19,137 / loss $16,360)4.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.91515/15
Sortino 3.68010/10
$+0.0497 per $1 invested2.5/10
HHI 31 (1762 markets)10/10
166/325 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 24% of peak ($708 / $2,976)9.2/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+11,770
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 6.7 entries/market
Whale
$55,913 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 24%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#163$11,666Vol: $266,802
🏛️ POLITICS#23,727$637Vol: $29,714
SPORTS#1,658,337$-86Vol: $20,797
CRYPTO#1,534,970$-197Vol: $17,165
🎭 CULTURE#750,740$-35Vol: $6,366
💻 TECH#27,277$4Vol: $3,638
📈 ECONOMICS#653,873$-69Vol: $3,177
💰 FINANCE#639,992$-162Vol: $2,828
📢 MENTIONS#12,462$27Vol: $736

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$11,770
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$351,358
Total Redeem
$40
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1762
total markets
Trades
6387B / 5446S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~356d

Periods

#2
Today
$132
Vol: $3,112
Week
$166
Vol: $18,887
Month
$561
Vol: $20,976
All Time
$11,770
Vol: $351,358

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
922W / 840L events
Realized PnL
$11,770
Win Rate
52%
922W / 840L
Profit Factor
1.17x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,197 (0.1016860443381061% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 30?$424
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 26?$388
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?$386
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 27?$355
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?$311
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 4?$270
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 15?$254
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 8?$246
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 15?$238
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 1?$235

Top Losers

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-364
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 9?$-364
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13?$-269
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 12?$-252
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 8?$-228
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 8?$-206
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 5?$-199
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 19?$-193
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-190
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9AM ET$-189

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.100
Sortino
0.160
HHI
29
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.049
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
6.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
22.7
Active
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
56.7m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
16 min
Avg Trades / Session
36.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 196s — normal for humanCV 1.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock23 trades/day — high frequency3.4 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.75
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.5%
Mid (20-55c)35.6%
High (>55c)45.9%

Sessions

#12
5/7/2026, 5:35:11 AM173 trades$1,21454 min
4/30/2026, 10:33:00 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/20/2026, 5:30:02 PM7 trades$8900 min
4/4/2026, 9:10:35 AM4 trades$7255 min
6/8/2026, 8:10:39 AM30 trades$66610 min
5/10/2026, 4:47:39 AM138 trades$66478 min
5/15/2026, 4:56:59 AM81 trades$65831 min
6/6/2026, 1:54:18 PM34 trades$59011 min
6/6/2026, 2:11:18 PM104 trades$59055 min
6/6/2026, 5:47:25 AM42 trades$53121 min
6/20/2026, 10:25:13 AM14 trades$5210 min
6/20/2026, 4:52:16 PM26 trades$5178 min
6/14/2026, 8:36:07 AM8 trades$5020 min
8/4/2026, 6:53:45 AM78 trades$5016 min
5/8/2026, 5:54:13 AM68 trades$49841 min
4/26/2026, 9:39:54 AM2 trades$4890 min
7/8/2025, 1:47:07 PM19 trades$4785 min
6/21/2026, 5:15:32 AM50 trades$45335 min
5/12/2026, 6:17:49 AM62 trades$45140 min
6/3/2025, 2:27:46 PM2 trades$4330 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-03
06-11
08-17
12-19
03-04
05-12
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 19 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
80% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.75/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.5 / M35.6 / H45.9