@hmblc

#2,687,37341

0x16715b4851df58daffc9f4d9a5d039d663812f6d

~47d· 256 markets · 1172 tradesVol: $45,1882026-08-05 16:35:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (85/246)2.3/20
1.07x (win $2,156 / loss $2,017)3.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.59111.1/15
Sortino 1.36810/10
$+0.0297 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 415 (246 markets)10/10
15/35 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 282% of peak ($577 / $205)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#1,566,402$-42Vol: $38,246
💻 TECH#251,112$-126Vol: $4,266
💰 FINANCE#26,854$47Vol: $1,387
🏛️ POLITICS#95,200$45Vol: $904
🎭 CULTURE#773,214$-75Vol: $255
📢 MENTIONS#149,327$-29Vol: $129

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-179
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$45,188
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
256
total markets
Trades
751B / 421S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~47d

Periods

#2
Today
$-4
Vol: $0
Week
$-16
Vol: $962
Month
$-1
Vol: $962
All Time
$-179
Vol: $45,188

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
85W / 161L events
Realized PnL
$-175
Win Rate
35%
85W / 161L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $933 (5.3349725526075025% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$662
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?$139
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$132
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$131
Will Spain record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$83
Will 8+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$69
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$68
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$66
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$53
Spread: Germany (-3.5)$47

Top Losers

Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase?$-262
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?$-212
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-96
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?$-72
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-57
Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?$-49
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-38
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 10?$-36
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-36
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?$-36

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.030
Sortino
0.069
HHI
607
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.4%
Top-5 markets
42.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.2
Active
Markets / Day
4.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 417s — normal for humanCV 2.41 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — high frequency4.4 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.73
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.6%
Mid (20-55c)23.3%
High (>55c)50.1%

Sessions

#12
7/21/2026, 9:58:09 PM3 trades$5042 min
6/10/2026, 8:20:58 AM5 trades$5000 min
6/9/2026, 4:53:49 PM31 trades$43728 min
7/12/2026, 3:26:59 AM8 trades$3840 min
6/14/2026, 10:10:22 PM38 trades$2506 min
6/10/2026, 5:09:28 PM10 trades$2505 min
7/19/2026, 12:41:09 AM1 trades$2360 min
7/14/2026, 9:44:38 PM1 trades$2320 min
6/10/2026, 3:14:52 PM10 trades$1886 min
7/18/2026, 11:29:46 PM2 trades$1840 min
6/10/2026, 9:11:27 AM6 trades$1702 min
6/11/2026, 6:36:06 PM11 trades$1393 min
7/4/2026, 9:20:35 PM5 trades$1250 min
6/12/2026, 6:08:09 PM3 trades$1000 min
7/20/2026, 12:47:10 PM8 trades$989 min
6/9/2026, 7:18:34 AM13 trades$916 min
6/10/2026, 7:33:28 AM2 trades$900 min
6/15/2026, 12:50:58 AM6 trades$856 min
6/7/2026, 6:59:55 PM4 trades$802 min
6/9/2026, 6:27:16 AM5 trades$790 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-06
06-11
06-16
06-22
06-27
07-05
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 33 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.73/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.6 / M23.3 / H50.1