@TheFOMCGambler
#2,307,323390x1693c3c84ab70ccd6949cbb5d54867a1861b5d20
~158d· 203 markets · 1416 tradesVol: $114,7632026-08-04 15:18:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
79% (110/139)20/20
0.43x (win $3,058 / loss $7,118)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7240/15
Sortino -1.7290/10
$-0.0477 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 643 (139 markets)9.3/10
53/70 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 330% of peak ($5,824 / $1,764)0/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 79%
DCA Master
Avg 6.3 entries/market
Whale
$85,187 invested
Consistent
53/70 profitable days
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#11,360$2,060Vol: $78,805
📈 ECONOMICS#681,021$-2,196Vol: $25,705
🎭 CULTURE#26,672$66Vol: $7,916
⚽ SPORTS#210,514$26Vol: $2,197
₿ CRYPTO#424,293$1Vol: $100
💰 FINANCE#420,467$-0Vol: $40
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-43
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$114,763
Total Redeem
$200
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
203
total markets
Trades
940B / 476S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~158d
Periods
#2Today
$-491
Vol: $0
Week
$-726
Vol: $0
Month
$-811
Vol: $0
All Time
$-43
Vol: $114,763
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
79%
110W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$-43
Win Rate
79%
110W / 29L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-254
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $925 (21.46601716539086% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$413
Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?$315
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$197
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$181
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$124
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$108
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$103
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?$86
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$85
Trump out as President by March 31?$83
Top Losers
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-5,337
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$-390
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$-296
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$-182
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-174
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$-152
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-146
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-98
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-84
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$-80
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.090
Sortino
-0.045
HHI
342
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.059
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.6%
Top-5 markets
34.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.6
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 400s — normal for humanCV 2.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.26
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)2.6%
Mid (20-55c)5.1%
High (>55c)92.3%
Sessions
#1212/10/2025, 4:00:50 PM4 trades$4,9264 min
1/7/2026, 3:44:05 AM4 trades$3,3985 min
4/5/2026, 5:04:53 PM19 trades$2,2323 min
7/30/2026, 11:39:41 PM7 trades$2,1441 min
4/1/2026, 5:35:13 PM53 trades$2,05019 min
3/16/2026, 6:08:17 AM8 trades$2,0196 min
3/16/2026, 12:56:03 AM10 trades$1,88817 min
7/1/2026, 2:41:14 PM21 trades$1,6274 min
12/10/2025, 4:11:58 PM1 trades$1,5980 min
7/4/2026, 5:18:13 PM9 trades$1,5754 min
12/24/2025, 4:50:13 PM9 trades$1,52011 min
1/17/2026, 3:51:16 PM3 trades$1,4660 min
7/30/2026, 11:32:12 PM2 trades$1,4630 min
4/5/2026, 8:00:27 AM5 trades$1,3654 min
5/27/2026, 3:58:03 PM44 trades$1,2914 min
7/30/2026, 2:03:42 PM12 trades$1,2851 min
4/2/2026, 4:13:57 PM21 trades$1,27016 min
4/5/2026, 3:43:57 PM20 trades$1,2519 min
3/18/2026, 1:02:29 AM2 trades$1,2411 min
7/4/2026, 5:27:25 PM22 trades$1,2137 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-09
01-07
02-17
03-15
04-05
05-11
07-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 51 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.26/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.6 / M5.1 / H92.3