@pdlh

#2,910,63840

0x169b8e2a1d5a3e9d840a08074a090afa82a730c9

~455d· 379 markets · 4257 tradesVol: $207,5732026-08-04 22:41:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

77% (275/355)20/20
0.58x (win $6,962 / loss $12,086)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6450/15
Sortino -1.6770/10
$-0.0516 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 123 (355 markets)10/10
171/225 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 392% of peak ($7,003 / $1,785)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 77%
DCA Master
Avg 11.3 entries/market
Whale
$99,314 invested
Consistent
171/225 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,447,129$-41Vol: $121,394
🎭 CULTURE#812,917$-1,570Vol: $18,813
💰 FINANCE#9,374$314Vol: $16,633
SPORTS#1,733,198$-185Vol: $11,060
📈 ECONOMICS#660,715$-103Vol: $9,961
🌤️ WEATHER#3,665$319Vol: $9,753
💻 TECH#3,181$285Vol: $7,338
CRYPTO#1,556,985$-269Vol: $3,019
📢 MENTIONS#4,957$140Vol: $1,022

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-868
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$207,573
Total Redeem
$69
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
379
total markets
Trades
2781B / 1476S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~455d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $400
Month
$39
Vol: $480
All Time
$-868
Vol: $207,573

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
77%
275W / 80L events
Realized PnL
$-868
Win Rate
77%
275W / 80L
Profit Factor
0.58x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-157

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $818 (0.9421357119808232% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?$306
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?$292
Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?$219
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$193
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$173
GPT-5 released in 2024?$154
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?$147
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?$143
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$141
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?$140

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-3,232
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?$-1,636
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$-496
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?$-467
US strikes Nigeria by December 31?$-420
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?$-408
World Chess Championship 2024 Winner$-390
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?$-386
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-333
Khamenei public appearance by Friday?$-313

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.086
Sortino
-0.046
HHI
108
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.055
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
15%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1026s — normal for humanCV 1.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.27
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.4%
Mid (20-55c)15.5%
High (>55c)78.1%

Sessions

#12
7/26/2026, 5:15:07 AM4 trades$1,7855 min
5/11/2026, 2:42:54 PM15 trades$1,6894 min
11/14/2025, 9:46:30 PM1 trades$1,2620 min
5/8/2026, 12:25:33 PM10 trades$1,2004 min
4/12/2026, 7:03:47 AM26 trades$1,18310 min
7/17/2026, 11:03:57 AM2 trades$1,0370 min
4/2/2026, 5:49:01 PM12 trades$9690 min
3/15/2026, 6:55:07 PM3 trades$9681 min
11/7/2025, 6:26:47 AM4 trades$9601 min
3/4/2026, 7:42:39 PM1 trades$9370 min
3/23/2026, 12:46:25 PM3 trades$8691 min
6/20/2026, 5:45:32 AM6 trades$8660 min
12/10/2024, 8:04:19 AM9 trades$80219 min
4/7/2026, 8:15:45 PM4 trades$7650 min
7/5/2026, 3:59:31 PM2 trades$7460 min
1/5/2026, 4:56:47 AM2 trades$7211 min
12/10/2024, 2:42:07 PM2 trades$7090 min
2/1/2026, 8:08:48 PM3 trades$7030 min
6/26/2026, 12:44:05 PM4 trades$7001 min
6/13/2026, 5:36:45 PM3 trades$6940 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-03
12-01
03-11
06-07
12-26
03-05
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 392 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.27/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.4 / M15.5 / H78.1