@Forfunzies

#83,02470

0x16c837519a03dae2061954cbf5fd328cfe6dcb07

~240d· 220 markets · 856 tradesVol: $84,9592026-08-04 17:21:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (129/192)18.6/20
1.29x (win $2,234 / loss $1,734)6.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.22815/15
Sortino 1.64310/10
$+0.0173 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 294 (192 markets)10/10
83/124 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 71% of peak ($792 / $1,120)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+971
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
Consistent
83/124 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#30,841$5Vol: $44,068
🏛️ POLITICS#26,161$534Vol: $30,565
CRYPTO#60,390$234Vol: $3,513
🎭 CULTURE#16,960$141Vol: $3,382
📈 ECONOMICS#17,047$56Vol: $2,113
💻 TECH#15,686$14Vol: $611
💰 FINANCE#618,099$-49Vol: $506
SPORTS#203,350$29Vol: $100
📢 MENTIONS#43,807$1Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$971
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$84,959
Total Redeem
$210
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
220
total markets
Trades
713B / 143S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~240d

Periods

#2
Today
$10
Vol: $0
Week
$20
Vol: $0
Month
$38
Vol: $56
All Time
$971
Vol: $84,959

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
129W / 63L events
Realized PnL
$971
Win Rate
67%
129W / 63L
Profit Factor
1.29x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-28

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $622 (0.6402182866556836% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in April 2025?$343
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$150
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?$129
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$104
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?$81
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?$70
James Comey arrested by October 31?$57
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?$54
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$54
Megaquake in February?$53

Top Losers

US forces in Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$-312
US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$-124
US bank failure by January 31?$-86
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?$-81
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-78
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-78
2025 May hottest on record?$-68
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$-66
Megaquake by January 31?$-53
Megaquake by March 31?$-53

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.064
Sortino
0.055
HHI
197
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.020
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7%
Top-5 markets
23.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
37.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2252s — normal for humanCV 1.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.78
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.9%
Mid (20-55c)7.3%
High (>55c)56.8%

Sessions

#12
4/15/2026, 10:10:40 AM2 trades$9930 min
2/5/2025, 3:51:37 PM1 trades$8670 min
7/20/2025, 8:40:53 AM2 trades$7871 min
1/1/2026, 4:05:01 PM1 trades$7740 min
1/3/2026, 4:07:27 PM2 trades$7651 min
1/3/2026, 10:37:45 AM2 trades$7170 min
6/11/2026, 9:18:30 PM11 trades$7093 min
11/1/2025, 3:35:37 PM3 trades$7021 min
1/28/2026, 6:27:22 PM6 trades$5133 min
1/3/2026, 8:41:23 AM1 trades$5000 min
1/1/2026, 3:59:57 PM1 trades$4990 min
1/1/2026, 5:37:43 PM2 trades$4894 min
2/5/2025, 7:25:30 PM1 trades$4500 min
2/9/2026, 5:39:39 PM1 trades$4340 min
3/12/2026, 10:57:05 AM3 trades$4331 min
10/6/2025, 5:26:09 AM1 trades$4240 min
6/7/2026, 1:13:46 PM10 trades$4111 min
4/23/2025, 4:06:14 AM4 trades$3911 min
5/10/2026, 6:03:24 PM2 trades$3760 min
2/5/2026, 11:43:29 AM2 trades$3713 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-17
03-18
06-19
08-26
10-31
01-05
04-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 61 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.78/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L35.9 / M7.3 / H56.8