@fedcutdecision

#2,895,24271

0x171544dd3be328dc903b023ad36457bf07dca049

~49d· 1201 markets · 4608 tradesVol: $135,5922026-08-05 18:26:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (569/1131)10.2/20
1.29x (win $4,202 / loss $3,246)6.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.13215/15
Sortino 17.20610/10
$+0.0407 per $1 invested2/10
HHI 912 (1131 markets)7.9/10
21/29 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 23% of peak ($218 / $956)9.4/10

Badges

7
Contrarian
62% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
2% sells
Consistent
21/29 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 23%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
100% maker orders

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,785,845$-409Vol: $103,342
📈 ECONOMICS#19,123$46Vol: $8,250

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-731
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$135,592
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1201
total markets
Trades
4523B / 85S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d

Periods

#2
Today
$95
Vol: $4,705
Week
$119
Vol: $10,864
Month
$121
Vol: $10,864
All Time
$-731
Vol: $135,592

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
569W / 562L events
Realized PnL
$-725
Win Rate
50%
569W / 562L
Profit Factor
1.29x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,170 (1.6138555130981775% of PnL)

Top Winners

Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Morocco?$1,051
Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)$65
Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: O/U 2.5$53
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-05?$52
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$51
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?$50
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-07-14?$46
LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B$42
Will FK Vardar Skopje win on 2026-07-14?$40
Will Floriana FC win on 2026-07-07?$32

Top Losers

Tromsø IL vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 2.5$-62
Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: O/U 3.5$-55
Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx$-45
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$-40
Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-14?$-35
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces$-35
Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 2.5$-35
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to Score$-32
Will FC Malisheva win on 2026-07-15?$-31
FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: O/U 2.5$-31

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.212
Sortino
0.794
HHI
621
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.036
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.8%
Top-5 markets
47.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.4
Active
Markets / Day
5.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
9.8m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 130s — normal for humanCV 3.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock21 trades/day — high frequency5.6 markets/day — normal100% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.97
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16%
Mid (20-55c)46.1%
High (>55c)37.9%

Sessions

#12
1/9/2026, 1:30:46 PM2 trades$4680 min
1/4/2026, 1:26:27 PM2 trades$4550 min
7/17/2026, 12:32:01 PM106 trades$33554 min
7/4/2026, 2:38:47 PM83 trades$32590 min
1/24/2026, 2:39:30 PM1 trades$2470 min
4/14/2026, 8:04:50 PM2 trades$2471 min
1/21/2026, 1:29:50 PM1 trades$2460 min
3/11/2026, 9:49:19 PM1 trades$2460 min
1/21/2026, 2:50:06 PM1 trades$2460 min
1/9/2026, 8:41:54 PM1 trades$2450 min
1/21/2026, 10:18:54 AM1 trades$2450 min
1/21/2026, 10:27:20 AM1 trades$2450 min
3/7/2026, 7:20:29 PM1 trades$2450 min
1/21/2026, 10:35:18 AM1 trades$2450 min
3/11/2026, 8:14:17 PM2 trades$2440 min
1/9/2026, 9:14:16 PM1 trades$2440 min
3/11/2026, 8:55:45 PM1 trades$2430 min
1/9/2026, 2:24:50 PM1 trades$2430 min
1/9/2026, 4:23:08 PM1 trades$2430 min
1/19/2026, 5:16:56 PM1 trades$2410 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-04
01-21
03-11
07-04
07-08
07-12
07-16
08-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.97/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L16 / M46.1 / H37.9