@TLHP

#272,0648

0x176c95e42f65d3c2f3e75dc125e6f3cb80f562f6

~14d· 46 markets · 189 tradesVol: $16,9012026-08-04 23:19:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

17% (8/46)0/20
0.83x (win $152 / loss $183)0.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0330/15
Sortino -1.9550/10
$-0.0834 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 897 (46 markets)8/10
5/18 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 155% of peak ($115 / $74)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+74
Lottery Player
46% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#260,262$-20Vol: $13,004
CRYPTO#99,672$94Vol: $3,897

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$74
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,901
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
46
total markets
Trades
131B / 58S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Today
$-71
Vol: $873
Week
$-33
Vol: $1,844
Month
$-28
Vol: $2,106
All Time
$74
Vol: $16,901

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
16%
7W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$74
Win Rate
16%
7W / 38L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $135 (1.8207369553523403% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$115
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 22?$11
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2?$9
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 4?$6
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 28?$4
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 4?$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$2
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 22?$1

Top Losers

Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 10AM ET$-47
Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 11PM ET$-44
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 31?$-16
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 25?$-11
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$-10
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 25?$-9
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 3?$-8
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 28?$-5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 16?$-5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 28?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.052
Sortino
-0.114
HHI
779
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.083
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.9%
Top-5 markets
53.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.3
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
61%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 332s — normal for humanCV 2.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)61% night trades — never sleeps15/24 hours — normal schedule9 trades/day — normal2.3 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.11
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)45.8%
Mid (20-55c)13%
High (>55c)41.2%

Sessions

#12
7/28/2026, 2:50:14 PM12 trades$1180 min
7/28/2026, 2:36:56 PM4 trades$630 min
7/28/2026, 2:18:38 PM11 trades$5913 min
7/27/2026, 1:23:31 AM9 trades$442 min
7/27/2026, 1:39:01 AM14 trades$361 min
7/31/2026, 3:18:48 AM4 trades$281 min
7/27/2026, 1:58:10 AM10 trades$211 min
7/28/2026, 3:04:55 PM2 trades$200 min
7/31/2026, 3:37:42 AM6 trades$201 min
7/24/2026, 2:18:54 AM2 trades$181 min
7/22/2026, 12:41:55 AM2 trades$180 min
8/4/2026, 7:47:29 AM1 trades$180 min
8/4/2026, 7:37:38 AM1 trades$160 min
7/24/2026, 2:25:27 PM3 trades$130 min
8/4/2026, 8:11:14 AM1 trades$110 min
7/22/2026, 12:55:07 AM4 trades$104 min
7/16/2026, 8:30:01 AM1 trades$100 min
7/22/2026, 2:25:34 AM1 trades$90 min
7/18/2026, 8:12:28 AM3 trades$92 min
7/31/2026, 4:06:45 AM1 trades$80 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-16 08:35:00
2026-07-20 12:00:00
2026-07-24 02:20:00
2026-07-28 14:55:00
2026-07-29 12:00:00
2026-08-02 12:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
84.8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.11/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L45.8 / M13 / H41.2