MistyNights

@MistyNights

#99,43089

0x177296c6b1050df6d31dae7fa3408eea22f279dd

~117d· 2301 markets · 5941 tradesVol: $247,617 @c0ldz_2026-08-05 17:24:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

99% (2266/2300)20/20
1.86x (win $1,594 / loss $856)13.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.99115/15
Sortino 10.60710/10
$+0.0062 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 6 (2300 markets)10/10
100/114 profitable days (88%)10/10
Max DD 17% of peak ($124 / $739)10/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 99%
Profitable
PnL $+686
Whale
$118,375 invested
Consistent
100/114 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 17%
Win Streak
200 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#2,167$650Vol: $247,217
SPORTS#182,004$40Vol: $400

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$690
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$247,617
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2301
total markets
Trades
5344B / 597S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~117d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $413
Week
$11
Vol: $2,408
Month
$30
Vol: $3,408
All Time
$690
Vol: $247,617

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
99%
2266W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$686
Win Rate
99%
2266W / 34L
Profit Factor
1.86x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-27

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $185 (0.26915841511965355% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$172
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 20?$7
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 16?$5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 8?$4
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 13?$4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 12?$4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 14?$4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on March 10?$4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 12?$4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on March 12?$4

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-58
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on March 10?$-50
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?$-45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 25?$-45
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?$-41
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 12?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 12?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on May 11?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.364
Sortino
0.384
HHI
6
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.2%
Top-5 markets
0.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
38.8
Active
Markets / Day
15.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
29.9m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 595s — normal for humanCV 0.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock39 trades/day — high frequency15 markets/day — mass coverage90% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.58
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.1%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)99.9%

Sessions

#12
3/12/2026, 3:46:21 AM13 trades$42411 min
3/9/2026, 5:41:21 PM6 trades$3002 min
3/16/2026, 3:54:05 PM1 trades$2870 min
5/9/2026, 4:33:21 PM7 trades$2764 min
4/24/2026, 1:37:18 PM11 trades$24115 min
4/29/2026, 7:59:24 AM12 trades$23312 min
5/12/2026, 2:51:00 PM6 trades$22217 min
4/27/2026, 7:48:36 PM10 trades$2205 min
6/4/2026, 8:48:16 AM6 trades$21810 min
6/20/2026, 5:45:04 PM11 trades$20622 min
4/28/2026, 10:29:18 PM18 trades$20615 min
3/12/2026, 6:33:25 AM4 trades$2007 min
3/12/2026, 6:49:27 AM9 trades$19414 min
4/30/2026, 2:13:50 AM7 trades$19110 min
4/30/2026, 1:55:48 PM13 trades$1858 min
6/18/2026, 5:53:50 AM10 trades$18312 min
6/11/2026, 1:34:57 AM7 trades$1821 min
3/16/2026, 3:33:09 PM1 trades$1820 min
6/7/2026, 6:22:40 AM5 trades$1823 min
6/7/2026, 7:34:13 AM4 trades$1824 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-05
03-24
04-30
05-29
06-21
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
92% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.58/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.1 / M0 / H99.9