@pedrobueno

#6,57069

0x17e0504da9a42b1ba021e5e22802f34a42bffe5b

~45d· 215 markets · 10762 tradesVol: $556,9252026-08-04 20:34:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (109/215)10.3/20
1.24x (win $65,544 / loss $52,843)5.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.85915/15
Sortino 3.67510/10
$+0.0989 per $1 invested4.9/10
HHI 97 (215 markets)10/10
27/45 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 42% of peak ($8,652 / $20,742)5.7/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+24,652
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 50.1 entries/market
Whale
$128,474 invested
High Roller
$1,626/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#58$24,652Vol: $556,925

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$24,652
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$556,925
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
215
total markets
Trades
2653B / 8109S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~45d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
109W / 106L events
Realized PnL
$24,652
Win Rate
51%
109W / 106L
Profit Factor
1.24x
Avg Win
$601
Avg Loss
$-499

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12,111 (0.49126024397733437% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 27?$5,084
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 17?$4,168
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 19?$2,859
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 15?$2,695
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 21?$2,659
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 20?$2,329
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 3?$2,294
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 14?$2,213
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 13?$2,194
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 21?$2,087

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 9?$-3,978
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?$-2,681
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 21?$-2,413
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 4?$-2,108
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 7?$-1,752
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?$-1,722
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 21?$-1,662
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 3?$-1,621
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 19?$-1,524
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 7?$-1,523

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.148
Sortino
0.135
HHI
119
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.099
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.7%
Top-5 markets
14.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
136.2
Very active
Markets / Day
2.7
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
32s
between trades
Avg Gap
22.6m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
56.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 32s — normal for humanCV 2.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock136 trades/day — automation2.7 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
50.06
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.4%
Mid (20-55c)39.1%
High (>55c)41.5%

Sessions

#12
5/4/2026, 7:52:30 PM163 trades$6,44621 min
6/21/2026, 11:14:19 PM8 trades$5,3861 min
6/8/2026, 6:00:12 PM94 trades$4,40810 min
7/7/2026, 10:05:49 AM175 trades$4,17240 min
6/5/2026, 8:48:24 PM11 trades$3,6270 min
7/14/2026, 5:48:14 AM74 trades$3,3381 min
6/9/2026, 5:06:19 PM42 trades$3,2865 min
6/19/2026, 5:49:26 AM21 trades$3,2663 min
5/12/2026, 8:53:32 PM21 trades$3,1671 min
6/8/2026, 5:14:48 PM128 trades$3,10124 min
6/27/2026, 12:59:11 AM25 trades$3,0480 min
5/9/2026, 12:57:56 PM170 trades$3,02619 min
6/20/2026, 5:03:46 AM19 trades$2,9391 min
5/11/2026, 10:58:49 PM92 trades$2,9206 min
6/17/2026, 8:05:08 AM61 trades$2,80118 min
6/21/2026, 8:11:11 AM39 trades$2,4370 min
6/17/2026, 6:33:46 AM14 trades$2,2410 min
5/4/2026, 7:21:50 PM138 trades$2,12210 min
6/9/2026, 3:42:12 AM60 trades$2,0764 min
7/7/2026, 11:02:25 AM67 trades$2,07412 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-01
05-08
05-15
06-08
06-17
06-25
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
75.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 50.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.4 / M39.1 / H41.5