one.piece

@one.piece

#250,59224

0x180a6723d150af39a5c40e0761321942e5728c61

~64d· 127 markets · 950 tradesVol: $11,6142026-08-04 23:36:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (58/112)10.9/20
0.70x (win $583 / loss $827)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1450/15
Sortino -2.5500/10
$-0.0285 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 851 (112 markets)8.2/10
19/37 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($530 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+92
DCA Master
Avg 7.8 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#46,328$187Vol: $10,372
💰 FINANCE#101,283$2Vol: $545
CRYPTO#1,452,547$-88Vol: $428
SPORTS#1,020,703$-2Vol: $121
🎭 CULTURE#699,415$-12Vol: $110
🌤️ WEATHER#38,938$3Vol: $30
📢 MENTIONS#36,808$2Vol: $7

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$93
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,614
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
127
total markets
Trades
492B / 458S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~64d

Periods

#2
Month
$5
Vol: $0
All Time
$93
Vol: $11,614

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
58W / 54L events
Realized PnL
$93
Win Rate
52%
58W / 54L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-33

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $324 (3.507243243243243% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$142
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$93
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?$90
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$43
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?$32
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$18
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?$14
Will voter turnout be 56-60% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$12
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$9
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$9

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-269
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-120
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-51
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$-49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-39
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$-32
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-31
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?$-31
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-26
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-24

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.111
Sortino
-0.100
HHI
930
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22.3%
Top-5 markets
55.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
33.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2003s — normal for humanCV 2.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active1.9 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.79
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.3%
Mid (20-55c)10.8%
High (>55c)86%

Sessions

#12
6/30/2026, 3:03:05 AM6 trades$1,2541 min
7/4/2026, 1:59:17 PM2 trades$9990 min
7/15/2026, 12:51:13 AM14 trades$5741 min
7/14/2026, 6:14:59 PM3 trades$3980 min
5/31/2026, 11:05:42 PM10 trades$3420 min
7/5/2026, 5:29:19 AM5 trades$3110 min
7/14/2026, 2:19:02 PM12 trades$3065 min
7/5/2026, 1:36:46 PM4 trades$2860 min
6/29/2026, 10:25:50 AM2 trades$2440 min
7/27/2026, 8:04:34 PM5 trades$2400 min
7/13/2026, 1:55:25 PM6 trades$2240 min
6/14/2026, 6:24:34 PM4 trades$2180 min
6/1/2026, 12:09:49 AM4 trades$2081 min
7/13/2026, 8:29:13 AM2 trades$1950 min
5/29/2026, 2:57:02 PM5 trades$1921 min
6/27/2026, 9:27:19 AM2 trades$1830 min
6/23/2026, 6:15:25 PM4 trades$1740 min
6/10/2026, 6:39:27 PM4 trades$1654 min
6/1/2026, 1:20:04 AM12 trades$15313 min
7/31/2026, 10:27:30 AM18 trades$1478 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-28
06-07
06-14
06-25
07-06
07-17
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.79/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.3 / M10.8 / H86