@0x1838ba…3259

#129,30010

0x1838ba094e24030d8383c99e3cb36ee7644e68f0

~58d· 73 markets · 520 tradesVol: $135,9062026-08-04 19:45:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (20/65)0.4/20
0.57x (win $3,868 / loss $6,830)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.1930/15
Sortino -3.8870/10
$-0.1891 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 614 (65 markets)9.4/10
11/36 profitable days (31%)0.1/10
Max DD 497% of peak ($3,844 / $774)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+391
Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#802,719$-367Vol: $72,282
🏛️ POLITICS#21,431$756Vol: $19,871
SPORTS#136,242$79Vol: $16,840
💻 TECH#2,420$444Vol: $13,588
💰 FINANCE#625,228$-69Vol: $3,493
📈 ECONOMICS#11,912$108Vol: $2,910
🌤️ WEATHER#288,959$-152Vol: $2,100
📢 MENTIONS#171,703$-330Vol: $1,148

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$391
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$135,906
Total Redeem
$200
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
73
total markets
Trades
226B / 294S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~58d

Periods

#2
Today
$-11
Vol: $0
Week
$10
Vol: $1,914
Month
$-9
Vol: $3,914
All Time
$391
Vol: $135,906

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
20W / 45L events
Realized PnL
$391
Win Rate
31%
20W / 45L
Profit Factor
0.57x
Avg Win
$193
Avg Loss
$-180

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,232 (5.712728389375097% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1,574
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$341
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$317
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$251
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$189
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$154
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$153
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$132
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$131
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?$126

Top Losers

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$-1,314
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,227
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$-1,029
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$-570
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-307
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$-293
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$-233
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$-193
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$-187
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-150

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.165
Sortino
-0.187
HHI
1068
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.163
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.5%
Top-5 markets
64.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 231s — normal for humanCV 2.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.43
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.6%
Mid (20-55c)23%
High (>55c)43.4%

Sessions

#12
5/9/2026, 12:47:05 PM2 trades$1,8430 min
5/11/2026, 11:54:20 PM5 trades$1,4810 min
5/2/2026, 9:12:20 AM13 trades$1,4413 min
5/12/2026, 9:17:31 PM7 trades$1,4210 min
8/1/2026, 3:40:32 PM23 trades$1,3991 min
5/11/2026, 7:16:30 AM14 trades$1,3410 min
4/5/2026, 8:47:11 AM14 trades$1,2281 min
5/8/2026, 6:51:40 PM7 trades$1,1261 min
5/16/2026, 12:19:45 PM10 trades$1,0351 min
4/4/2026, 8:25:45 AM6 trades$9794 min
7/24/2026, 5:41:04 PM5 trades$9300 min
5/16/2026, 11:03:19 PM2 trades$9160 min
5/2/2026, 2:14:14 PM8 trades$9150 min
5/16/2026, 10:52:52 PM11 trades$7353 min
6/26/2026, 7:34:13 PM17 trades$7146 min
6/26/2026, 8:12:59 PM12 trades$6889 min
8/2/2026, 8:54:59 PM3 trades$6080 min
5/14/2026, 9:28:22 PM12 trades$5830 min
5/16/2026, 8:54:25 PM9 trades$5811 min
5/6/2026, 4:20:15 PM11 trades$4520 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-22
04-07
05-14
06-12
06-28
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 69 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L33.6 / M23 / H43.4