@smalldog1
#154,820150x1841cee6186e162f6a51562a03a513d92b9178fa
~53d· 508 markets · 1300 tradesVol: $48,6852026-08-04 21:10:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
34% (172/504)2.1/20
0.91x (win $594 / loss $656)1.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2180/15
Sortino -1.9460/10
$-0.0504 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 336 (504 markets)10/10
18/52 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 217% of peak ($174 / $80)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+262
Lottery Player
44% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
1🌤️ WEATHER#4,154$262Vol: $48,685
Overview
#1Net PnL
$262
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$48,685
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
508
total markets
Trades
526B / 774S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~53d
Periods
#2Today
$20
Vol: $657
Week
$9
Vol: $5,416
Month
$-29
Vol: $6,735
All Time
$262
Vol: $48,685
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
34%
172W / 332L events
Realized PnL
$262
Win Rate
34%
172W / 332L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-3
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $156 (0.5932642487046633% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?$59
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13?$58
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 11?$39
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?$17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 25?$14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?$14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 11?$12
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 19?$11
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 11?$11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 28?$10
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?$-20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 10?$-19
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 20?$-16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 12?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 8?$-9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 6?$-9
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 12?$-9
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 5?$-8
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 23?$-8
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.063
Sortino
-0.110
HHI
30
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.051
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.8%
Top-5 markets
4.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
21.3
Active
Markets / Day
8.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.3
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 4074s — normal for humanCV 0.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock21 trades/day — high frequency8.3 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 1:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.56
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)44.1%
Mid (20-55c)4.6%
High (>55c)51.3%
Sessions
#126/10/2026, 6:12:04 PM43 trades$1,1620 min
6/14/2026, 10:43:19 PM9 trades$1,0790 min
6/26/2026, 9:29:56 PM14 trades$2380 min
6/18/2026, 3:26:19 PM4 trades$2140 min
6/27/2026, 6:12:25 AM5 trades$2000 min
6/27/2026, 11:25:13 PM7 trades$1810 min
6/12/2026, 11:33:45 PM23 trades$1570 min
6/15/2026, 4:37:24 PM6 trades$1470 min
6/17/2026, 1:00:50 AM20 trades$1410 min
7/6/2026, 7:22:20 AM5 trades$1280 min
6/13/2026, 1:25:54 AM16 trades$1220 min
6/13/2026, 5:35:19 PM15 trades$1150 min
6/18/2026, 8:40:46 AM3 trades$1140 min
6/15/2026, 1:41:25 AM16 trades$1140 min
6/18/2026, 4:09:49 AM12 trades$1130 min
6/18/2026, 3:01:14 AM18 trades$1120 min
7/20/2026, 3:59:13 AM4 trades$1110 min
6/16/2026, 1:27:07 AM27 trades$1060 min
6/16/2026, 2:45:24 AM17 trades$1000 min
6/18/2026, 6:24:49 AM16 trades$960 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-05
06-13
06-21
07-02
07-12
07-20
07-31
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 30 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.56/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44.1 / M4.6 / H51.3