@0xM18469…a932

#158,17753

0x18469a63386b393ae4bbc6b74621ffe36b81a932

~186d· 3445 markets · 5044 tradesVol: $8,738,8212026-08-05 17:28:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

6% (184/3297)0/20
18.01x (win $4,242 / loss $236)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.85315/15
Sortino 146.42510/10
$+0.0010 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 9967 (3297 markets)0/10
45/110 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 1% of peak ($39 / $4,015)10/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+251
Lottery Player
92% entries < $0.20
Whale
$3,961,857 invested
High Roller
$12,228/day
Cool Head
Max DD 1%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
88% maker orders

Categories

9
⚽ SPORTS#121,002$101Vol: $8,110,350
🏛️ POLITICS#67,860$89Vol: $322,618
📈 ECONOMICS#26,756$24Vol: $271,729
₿ CRYPTO#978,184$-3Vol: $21,136
💰 FINANCE#109,443$2Vol: $4,077
🎭 CULTURE#37,552$35Vol: $3,811
🌤️ WEATHER#212,095$-2Vol: $2,449
💻 TECH#71,851$0Vol: $896
📢 MENTIONS#72,184$-0Vol: $294

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$250
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,738,821
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3445
total markets
Trades
4111B / 933S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~186d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $73
Month
$-0
Vol: $79
All Time
$250
Vol: $8,738,821

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
6%
184W / 3113L events
Realized PnL
$251
Win Rate
6%
184W / 3113L
Profit Factor
18.01x
Avg Win
$23
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,024 (16.04837680465821% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,956
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$34
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$34
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$25
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$23
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$9
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$8
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?$8
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$7
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7

Top Losers

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$-39
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-26
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?$-22
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-21
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?$-21
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$-20
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$-18
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$-13
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$-10
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.097
Sortino
6.090
HHI
9973
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
99.9%
Top-5 markets
99.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.6
Active
Markets / Day
10.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.0m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.1

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 75s — normal for humanCV 5.42 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active11 markets/day — mass coverage88% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.4
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)92.4%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)7.6%

Sessions

#12
6/4/2026, 12:36:19 PM254 trades$2,005,30830 min
6/4/2026, 10:38:21 AM127 trades$1,893,28050 min
6/4/2026, 12:12:57 PM2 trades$29,6000 min
6/4/2026, 11:40:52 AM2 trades$28,6000 min
6/4/2026, 2:44:43 PM50 trades$1,1169 min
6/4/2026, 4:37:01 PM5 trades$1,0003 min
6/4/2026, 3:09:12 PM17 trades$9650 min
9/15/2025, 2:29:40 AM3 trades$6022 min
9/15/2025, 3:34:04 AM2 trades$5521 min
9/16/2025, 5:05:54 AM2 trades$5461 min
9/16/2025, 6:17:38 AM2 trades$5282 min
9/16/2025, 5:59:08 AM2 trades$5254 min
6/4/2026, 2:24:27 PM15 trades$3825 min
12/5/2025, 9:24:01 PM1 trades$3790 min
12/24/2025, 3:38:11 PM2 trades$3791 min
11/24/2025, 12:36:19 AM2 trades$3700 min
12/8/2025, 1:26:35 PM1 trades$3620 min
9/25/2025, 8:12:00 AM1 trades$3500 min
9/18/2025, 1:47:32 PM1 trades$3150 min
9/19/2025, 1:50:54 PM1 trades$3000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-14
11-16
12-04
02-13
06-10
06-28
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.4/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L92.4 / M0 / H7.6