@trrr12

#140,52132

0x184b4b04ea85411bd81eaca8b29c22df1fd367b2

~45d· 1116 markets · 4236 tradesVol: $32,9642026-08-04 19:48:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

32
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (510/851)15/20
0.91x (win $512 / loss $561)1.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7750/15
Sortino -2.3020/10
$-0.0171 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 352 (851 markets)10/10
23/44 profitable days (52%)5.6/10
Max DD 290% of peak ($75 / $26)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+324
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#4,278$248Vol: $15,296
💰 FINANCE#19,898$84Vol: $6,218
🎭 CULTURE#430,788$-0Vol: $6,084
🏛️ POLITICS#1,372,844$-20Vol: $2,602
📈 ECONOMICS#411,994$-0Vol: $1,478
📢 MENTIONS#42,934$1Vol: $927
💻 TECH#20,983$7Vol: $303
⚽ SPORTS#399,885$2Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$324
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$32,964
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1116
total markets
Trades
2085B / 2151S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~45d

Periods

#2
Today
$58
Vol: $1,349
Week
$39
Vol: $6,202
Month
$62
Vol: $6,814
All Time
$324
Vol: $32,964

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
509W / 340L events
Realized PnL
$324
Win Rate
60%
509W / 340L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $67 (0.20663044820348192% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?$29
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 20?$20
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $11.2B?$18
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $145 in July?$16
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of June 15 2026?$11
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 25, 2026?$11
Will Stripe have the third highest private market valuation on July 31?$11
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $244 Week of July 27 2026?$10
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day 6?$10
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?$9

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 31?$-27
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-19
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$-8
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?$-8
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 23?$-8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on July 27?$-6
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 17?$-6
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.092
Sortino
-0.135
HHI
25
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.022
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
6.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
78.4
Very active
Markets / Day
20.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
34.5m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.7

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 791s — normal for humanCV 1.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock78 trades/day — mass trading21 markets/day — mass coverage49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.7
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.6%
Mid (20-55c)11.4%
High (>55c)80%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 7:08:48 PM2 trades$1,0100 min
7/21/2026, 11:24:39 AM6 trades$850 min
7/23/2026, 12:54:06 AM6 trades$631 min
7/19/2026, 8:00:39 PM4 trades$610 min
7/18/2026, 3:01:13 AM4 trades$610 min
7/21/2026, 7:45:09 PM4 trades$600 min
7/31/2026, 9:05:38 AM4 trades$571 min
7/14/2026, 2:43:34 PM10 trades$495 min
7/17/2026, 5:54:06 AM5 trades$490 min
7/15/2026, 10:55:50 AM4 trades$490 min
7/31/2026, 2:04:56 AM2 trades$470 min
7/13/2026, 9:45:58 AM19 trades$391 min
7/31/2026, 10:33:57 AM15 trades$380 min
7/19/2026, 2:40:00 PM2 trades$380 min
8/3/2026, 8:49:14 PM2 trades$360 min
6/15/2026, 8:46:52 PM20 trades$369 min
6/19/2026, 4:00:41 AM14 trades$364 min
6/19/2026, 5:13:04 AM10 trades$365 min
6/17/2026, 1:57:19 PM6 trades$320 min
7/26/2026, 1:31:19 PM3 trades$320 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
06-19
07-06
07-13
07-20
07-27
08-03
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
34% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.7/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.6 / M11.4 / H80