WilliamNaka

@WilliamNaka

#3,070,09540

0x18b0ee0242dc291848bf58e665b1af917fdaaf4a

~91d· 150 markets · 428 tradesVol: $747,0252026-08-04 23:03:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

74% (110/149)20/20
0.50x (win $30,125 / loss $60,257)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.2690/15
Sortino -3.2970/10
$-0.0618 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 248 (149 markets)10/10
58/76 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 2128% of peak ($34,879 / $1,639)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 74%
Whale
$487,780 invested
Consistent
58/76 profitable days
Win Streak
15 wins in a row

Categories

4
₿ CRYPTO#1,675,714$-24,234Vol: $652,688
⚽ SPORTS#1,508,474$-27Vol: $47,067
🏛️ POLITICS#1,638,420$-7,799Vol: $44,292
💰 FINANCE#15,396$136Vol: $2,977

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-31,925
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$747,025
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
150
total markets
Trades
195B / 233S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~91d

Periods

#2
Month
$12
Vol: $0
All Time
$-31,925
Vol: $747,025

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
74%
110W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$-31,925
Win Rate
74%
110W / 39L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$274
Avg Loss
$-1,944

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,659 (0.14592269031804378% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 29-January 4?$1,728
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 20?$1,470
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 13?$1,461
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $80000 on April 4?$1,422
Will XRP reach $2.10 December 22-28?$1,265
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?$964
Will Solana reach $210 October 27-November 2?$898
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$858
Will XRP reach $3.00 in November?$820
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$800

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8?$-10,256
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?$-7,879
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21?$-6,149
Will Bitcoin reach $95k in April?$-5,525
Will Ethereum reach $2000 in April?$-4,860
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?$-4,202
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $88,000 on January 21?$-4,031
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on January 27?$-3,005
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?$-3,000
Will XRP reach $2.00 December 29-January 4?$-2,630

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.170
Sortino
-0.101
HHI
221
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.061
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.9%
Top-5 markets
21.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
37.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.1h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2239s — normal for humanCV 1.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.97
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)11.8%
High (>55c)88.2%

Sessions

#12
12/28/2025, 5:27:29 AM2 trades$23,6841 min
4/6/2025, 4:34:24 PM1 trades$19,7150 min
4/7/2025, 8:05:59 AM1 trades$19,7150 min
4/6/2025, 3:36:48 PM1 trades$19,4800 min
4/4/2025, 8:17:17 AM1 trades$18,0580 min
12/15/2025, 8:39:57 AM1 trades$15,0150 min
4/14/2025, 11:14:44 AM1 trades$14,8550 min
12/8/2025, 8:34:01 AM1 trades$14,8260 min
12/1/2025, 5:38:14 PM1 trades$14,6240 min
11/17/2025, 9:18:31 AM1 trades$13,8040 min
11/7/2025, 2:08:45 PM1 trades$12,9530 min
11/6/2025, 2:57:41 PM1 trades$12,8510 min
11/5/2025, 3:48:55 PM1 trades$12,7630 min
9/24/2025, 5:27:54 AM2 trades$12,4081 min
12/30/2025, 2:09:03 PM1 trades$12,2690 min
11/4/2025, 2:31:13 PM1 trades$12,1250 min
12/20/2025, 3:34:42 AM1 trades$11,6690 min
10/30/2025, 1:10:19 PM1 trades$11,2270 min
10/30/2025, 1:16:33 PM1 trades$11,2270 min
10/17/2025, 5:13:35 AM1 trades$10,6560 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-10
09-24
12-15
01-12
01-27
06-25
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 438 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.97/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M11.8 / H88.2