@0x1902a4…3346

#2,341,24140

0x1902a48aa912d1908e6eceb2d21bea2b40cc02d0

~62d· 44 markets · 230 tradesVol: $4,9382026-08-04 19:47:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

77% (34/44)20/20
0.79x (win $195 / loss $248)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5200/15
Sortino -1.6190/10
$-0.0270 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 563 (44 markets)9.7/10
23/28 profitable days (82%)10/10
Max DD 189% of peak ($112 / $59)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 77%
DCA Master
Avg 5.2 entries/market
Consistent
23/28 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#725,317$-0Vol: $4,436
🎭 CULTURE#759,577$-48Vol: $502

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-48
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,938
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
44
total markets
Trades
136B / 94S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~62d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $30
Month
$-0
Vol: $30
All Time
$-48
Vol: $4,938

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
77%
34W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-48
Win Rate
77%
34W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-31

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $67 (1.3952863345048587% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia enter Toretske by February 28?$30
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$19
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?$19
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28?$18
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$17
Will Russia enter Borova by March 31?$13
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?$9
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?$9
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$8
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?$8

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$-90
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?$-44
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$-43
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?$-24
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?$-20
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 28, 2026?$-19
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28?$-7
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.078
Sortino
-0.043
HHI
467
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.027
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.7%
Top-5 markets
35.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.0h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4088s — normal for humanCV 0.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.23
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.1%
Mid (20-55c)9.6%
High (>55c)85.3%

Sessions

#12
4/16/2026, 7:28:40 AM5 trades$1361 min
1/29/2026, 11:21:16 AM3 trades$1134 min
6/6/2026, 6:36:52 PM2 trades$910 min
11/13/2025, 2:50:16 PM1 trades$740 min
2/3/2026, 1:01:14 PM2 trades$741 min
5/1/2026, 10:04:42 AM2 trades$580 min
1/17/2026, 6:52:20 PM2 trades$581 min
1/24/2026, 12:50:00 PM3 trades$582 min
1/24/2026, 12:43:12 PM1 trades$580 min
11/13/2025, 9:58:04 AM1 trades$540 min
11/15/2025, 7:52:36 PM1 trades$540 min
7/6/2026, 8:42:44 PM2 trades$530 min
2/5/2026, 9:28:43 AM5 trades$497 min
11/10/2025, 6:51:50 AM1 trades$490 min
10/25/2025, 4:53:39 PM1 trades$460 min
10/25/2025, 5:03:41 PM2 trades$463 min
10/25/2025, 8:00:19 AM1 trades$430 min
10/21/2025, 4:29:51 AM2 trades$422 min
2/1/2026, 8:01:28 AM5 trades$415 min
2/3/2026, 2:44:38 PM2 trades$402 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-21
12-07
01-07
01-28
02-06
05-01
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 152 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.23/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.1 / M9.6 / H85.3