@Always.losing.money

#2,707,84765

0x1916497d2fcd64b91e732819b201006bf4d61268

~5d· 12 markets · 112 tradesVol: $10,5762026-08-04 19:18:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

83% (10/12)20/20
99.00x (win $169 / loss $0)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.0644 per $1 invested3.2/10
HHI 1202 (12 markets)6.5/10
5/5 profitable days (100%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($0 / $169)10/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 83%
DCA Master
Avg 9.3 entries/market
Consistent
5/5 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 0%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#290,868$-200Vol: $10,576

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-200
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,576
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
12
total markets
Trades
23B / 89S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~5d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
83%
10W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$-200
Win Rate
83%
10W / 2L
Profit Factor
99x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $114 (0.5727382025849113% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 11?$54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 8?$32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?$29
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 9?$15
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 10?$15
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 10?$11
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 9?$7
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 8?$5
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 18?$2
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 18?$1

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.989
Sortino
inf
HHI
1222
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.064
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.5%
Top-5 markets
71.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.2
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5h
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
20
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.6

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 5529s — normal for humanCV 0.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule10 trades/day — very active1.1 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.33
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
7/9/2026, 9:56:29 PM7 trades$7410 min
7/11/2026, 10:30:44 PM13 trades$5751 min
7/8/2026, 11:10:28 PM3 trades$4050 min
7/10/2026, 1:03:44 PM5 trades$3595 min
7/9/2026, 11:04:08 AM3 trades$3580 min
7/9/2026, 12:34:13 PM2 trades$2760 min
7/9/2026, 4:40:19 PM7 trades$2720 min
7/8/2026, 8:00:11 PM12 trades$2480 min
7/9/2026, 12:56:17 AM6 trades$2100 min
7/9/2026, 8:47:46 AM9 trades$2010 min
7/9/2026, 10:12:28 AM9 trades$1480 min
7/10/2026, 9:01:31 AM7 trades$920 min
7/11/2026, 10:58:14 PM7 trades$920 min
7/10/2026, 10:33:40 AM10 trades$880 min
7/9/2026, 9:48:07 AM2 trades$660 min
7/9/2026, 9:06:38 AM2 trades$620 min
7/18/2026, 10:31:10 PM2 trades$100 min
7/18/2026, 5:57:01 PM2 trades$90 min
7/18/2026, 7:54:46 PM2 trades$50 min
7/18/2026, 1:16:04 PM2 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-08
07-09
07-10
07-11
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
79.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100