@thawolf

#2,422,25629

0x1934e7b8e6e0c130facc1046a4b27369a6b9474c

~12d· 22 markets · 44 tradesVol: $1,4072026-08-04 23:41:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (13/22)14.5/20
0.52x (win $202 / loss $386)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.3340/15
Sortino -5.6480/10
$-0.3028 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 644 (22 markets)9.3/10
6/12 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($309 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,600,012$-53Vol: $1,341
CRYPTO#1,148,641$-10Vol: $66

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-63
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,407
Total Redeem
$64
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
22
total markets
Trades
22B / 22S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

Periods

#2
Today
$-23
Vol: $88
Week
$3
Vol: $336
Month
$23
Vol: $435
All Time
$-63
Vol: $1,407

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
13W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-63
Win Rate
59%
13W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.52x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-55

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $94 (1.4959336628926807% of PnL)

Top Winners

Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5$43
ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5$30
Will FK Zenit win on 2026-08-02?$21
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-02?$21
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-03?$18
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?$14
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-07-31?$14
Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-08-02?$13
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-07-31?$11
Will GAIS win on 2026-07-30?$10

Top Losers

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5$-131
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?$-100
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)$-80
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?$-60
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 17?$-5
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?$-5
Will FC Volendam vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.267
Sortino
-0.322
HHI
632
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.303
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.8%
Top-5 markets
42.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.6h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
12
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 105s — normal for humanCV 0.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern8/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.1%
Mid (20-55c)9.1%
High (>55c)81.8%

Sessions

#12
8/3/2026, 8:12:51 AM6 trades$1461 min
4/13/2026, 4:11:15 PM4 trades$1441 min
8/2/2026, 9:41:30 AM7 trades$1183 min
6/12/2026, 2:14:39 PM2 trades$800 min
6/11/2026, 8:26:49 PM2 trades$710 min
7/31/2026, 6:53:00 AM6 trades$622 min
7/30/2026, 6:14:05 AM6 trades$614 min
4/14/2026, 10:59:47 AM3 trades$600 min
4/15/2026, 2:48:04 PM3 trades$590 min
11/7/2025, 9:23:07 AM3 trades$154 min
12/29/2025, 2:09:45 PM1 trades$100 min
11/17/2025, 1:42:11 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-07
12-29
04-14
06-11
07-30
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.1 / M9.1 / H81.8