@0x193a…32c1
#152,493830x193ab99ff35eeb0093179753945e1d2e67ae32c1
~72d· 72 markets · 401 tradesVol: $19,6592026-08-04 18:58:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
67% (46/69)18.3/20
1.75x (win $1,879 / loss $1,073)11.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.14615/15
Sortino 4.74510/10
$+0.2509 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 828 (69 markets)8.4/10
34/50 profitable days (68%)9.5/10
Max DD 86% of peak ($789 / $914)0/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+272
DCA Master
Avg 6.5 entries/market
Consistent
34/50 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#34,121$329Vol: $17,459
💰 FINANCE#626,227$-73Vol: $1,200
🎭 CULTURE#679,011$-9Vol: $416
₿ CRYPTO#463,708$1Vol: $200
📢 MENTIONS#16,771$14Vol: $158
💻 TECH#218,540$-5Vol: $153
📈 ECONOMICS#34,552$14Vol: $73
Overview
#1Net PnL
$272
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,659
Total Redeem
$389
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
72
total markets
Trades
242B / 159S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~72d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$23
Vol: $163
All Time
$272
Vol: $19,659
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
67%
46W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$272
Win Rate
67%
46W / 23L
Profit Factor
1.75x
Avg Win
$41
Avg Loss
$-54
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,294 (4.763084284136917% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$551
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$513
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$230
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$96
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$89
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 26, 2026?$62
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$40
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$38
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?$32
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?$26
Top Losers
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?$-328
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-291
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-83
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?$-51
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$-51
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$-48
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$-45
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?$-38
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$-33
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$-26
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.111
Sortino
0.163
HHI
672
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.213
Kelly %
14.4%
Half-Kelly
7.2%
Top-1 market
14.8%
Top-5 markets
45.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
36.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2190s — normal for humanCV 1.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.51
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)24%
Mid (20-55c)20.2%
High (>55c)55.8%
Sessions
#126/11/2026, 1:05:09 AM7 trades$2,3550 min
5/8/2026, 4:51:29 PM7 trades$4020 min
3/1/2026, 6:33:11 PM1 trades$2950 min
5/5/2026, 8:32:34 PM2 trades$2800 min
5/4/2026, 10:00:16 PM2 trades$2330 min
4/18/2026, 2:50:18 PM5 trades$2280 min
4/8/2026, 6:21:57 AM4 trades$2250 min
4/9/2026, 1:24:57 AM9 trades$2076 min
4/6/2026, 3:11:27 AM8 trades$1770 min
4/8/2026, 6:44:35 AM3 trades$1760 min
7/24/2026, 6:20:54 PM3 trades$1690 min
2/24/2026, 1:31:06 PM2 trades$1532 min
5/5/2026, 11:12:48 PM4 trades$1464 min
6/10/2026, 12:26:24 AM2 trades$1380 min
5/5/2026, 5:32:32 AM2 trades$1340 min
4/14/2026, 10:28:20 PM6 trades$1319 min
2/23/2026, 2:14:14 PM1 trades$1300 min
4/8/2026, 10:46:23 PM4 trades$1210 min
6/10/2026, 6:16:06 PM2 trades$1130 min
2/25/2026, 7:20:16 PM3 trades$1133 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-24
03-27
04-07
04-23
05-19
06-09
07-26
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 40 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.51/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24 / M20.2 / H55.8