@0x1952Cb…5769

#83,40347

0x1952cb834bb479c81d2729be1ecee7e1ca4aae21

~16d· 11 markets · 155 tradesVol: $26,6932026-08-04 19:48:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

47
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (4/9)7.2/20
2.35x (win $3,709 / loss $1,579)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.3929 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2526 (9 markets)0/10
3/6 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 23% of peak ($492 / $2,131)9.4/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+963
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 23%

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#16,040$1,191Vol: $19,258
💰 FINANCE#650,029$-504Vol: $5,719
📈 ECONOMICS#6,848$276Vol: $1,715

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$963
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,693
Total Redeem
$291
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
11
total markets
Trades
45B / 110S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$81
Vol: $0
Week
$27
Vol: $0
All Time
$963
Vol: $26,693

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
4W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$963
Win Rate
44%
4W / 5L
Profit Factor
2.35x
Avg Win
$927
Avg Loss
$-316

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,618 (3.757702892154317% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$2,679
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$651
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$289
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?$91

Top Losers

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$-996
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-279
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?$-200
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-100
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.480
Sortino
1.831
HHI
2008
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.419
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
34.9%
Top-5 markets
84.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
58.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
22
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3496s — normal for humanCV 1.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours16/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal11% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.78
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40%
Mid (20-55c)35.6%
High (>55c)24.4%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 8:27:37 PM25 trades$1,1210 min
5/31/2026, 5:00:25 PM8 trades$1,0161 min
2/20/2026, 11:39:46 AM1 trades$9960 min
2/20/2026, 12:01:24 PM1 trades$9910 min
4/25/2026, 9:38:28 AM15 trades$9501 min
4/13/2026, 2:38:09 AM21 trades$8121 min
4/30/2026, 2:36:16 PM5 trades$5470 min
4/8/2026, 8:33:51 AM17 trades$5310 min
7/13/2026, 5:14:23 PM13 trades$5252 min
3/28/2026, 11:43:31 AM2 trades$4001 min
4/17/2026, 6:11:32 AM12 trades$3640 min
2/28/2026, 5:10:35 PM1 trades$2800 min
4/27/2026, 3:09:40 PM10 trades$2190 min
4/13/2026, 8:39:33 AM5 trades$1910 min
4/8/2026, 1:37:47 PM9 trades$1670 min
5/8/2026, 9:03:06 AM2 trades$1580 min
4/26/2026, 10:51:40 PM2 trades$1490 min
2/28/2026, 4:12:19 PM1 trades$1000 min
3/28/2026, 12:56:01 PM1 trades$950 min
3/4/2026, 3:48:47 AM1 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-20
03-01
03-04
03-28
04-25
05-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 36 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
71% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.78/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L40 / M35.6 / H24.4